Eagles vs. Vikings
There are several storylines that could have an affect on this game, and the NFL Odds have the Eagles as -4 ½ favorites this week, with a larger total of 51 points. The Eagles have taken over the 3rd overall seed the playoffs, and all of the Chip Kelly doubters are looking rather foolish. Philly has been solid on the road this season, and think that trend will continue this week against one of the league’s worst defenses.
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU on the road this season, with their only loss coming at the hands of the Broncos in Denver. I think being only a four-point favorite here is undervaluing them slightly, and even though the Vikings’ offense has looked a little better under Matt Cassel, the potential for a lapse here is great. However it’s not that the Eagles’ defense will play particularly well, it’s mostly because I sincerely doubt Adrian Peterson plays this week.
At 3-9-1 SU, the Vikings have long been eliminated from playoff contention, and with Peterson dodging the bullet of another long-term injury, the Vikings would be wise to hold out their franchise player for this week and maybe longer.
As of Friday around midday, there has been no official word from the Vikings about the status of Peterson, or his backup Toby Gerhart. However reports indicate that Matt Cassel will start the game, but if he has no running game, it is going to be very difficult to keep up with the Eagles. Cassel can only take them so far, and that’s why I am willing to lay the points with the Eagles here for my free NFL pick.
My Pick: Eagles -4 ½
One week after getting kicked in the mouth by the Bengals, the Colts are back home and -5 ½ NFL Odds favorites against the visiting Texans. Even though the Colts have been one huge, nauseating roller coaster this season, they have great value here, and I don’t mind laying the points.
Besides their hiccup against the Rams a few weeks ago, the Colts have actually been pretty good this season at home. Even though Houston has had the extra rest from playing this past Thursday, I still think Indy is the play here. After getting blown out last week, they are slightly undervalued against one of the worst teams in the NFL.
Houston is 0-5 SU in their last five trips to Indianapolis, and in their last seven trips there, they are 2-5 ATS. On the road, I expect the Texans’ offense to struggle some, and for the Colts to take over the game by the 3rd quarter. Don’t look at last week and judge the Colts, because the Bengals are certainly one of the best teams in the AFC. I see Indy returning home and defending their playoff chances.
My Pick: Colts -5 ½