Friday's Odds Report
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 15 has begun, and after a thrilling start, the rest of Week 15 should be just as entertaining. The Chargers cashed as +10 underdogs on the road, and this week there are nine home underdogs in the NFL Odds. Let’s take one last look at Sunday and see if there is value remaining.
Redskins vs. Falcons
While it may not have any playoff implications, this game is really interesting from a betting and fan standpoint. The NFL Odds favor Atlanta at -7, but the big news for this one is the deactivation of Robert Griffin III, and placing Kirk Cousins as the starter for Washington. It has not changed the NFL Odds any, however it might just give the Skins some new life. The Falcons defense is very beatable, and so far during his very brief career, Cousins has played well. While I could easily see Washington getting blown out again, I could also see a close game here. To me, the better wager on this game might be the total of 49 1/2, and a bet on the over.
Ravens vs. Lions
The Monday Night Football party will feature the Ravens and Lions, and the NFL Odds have Detroit anywhere from a -5 ½ to a -7 favorite in the NFL Odds. Baltimore has been clinging to playoff relevancy in the AFC, and with their offense getting back Dennis Pitta, this game might be a shootout. The Ravens have won four of their last five games SU, and they’ve gone 3-2 ATS during that stretch. Up until last week in the snow, the Lions were beastly against the run, and back at home in the climate controlled Ford Field, look for Detroit to get back to playing solid defense up front.
Thursday's Odds Report
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 15 is here and with the kickoff tonight between the Chargers and Broncos, let’s take one last look at the NFL Odds for that game, as well as continuing our look at the multitude of home underdogs in this week’s NFL Odds.
Chargers vs. Broncos
Denver has settled down to a -10 favorite in this game, with a total of 56 ½ points. The total opened much lower than this around 54 points, however the spread has been all over the place this week. At the beginning of the week, the NFL Odds were anywhere from -10 to -12 in favor of Denver, but other than a few -10 ½ lines this week, it seems as if there will be no more movement in these odds. The Chargers have a chance to give the Broncos a game on the short week. Denver’s defense has not been great all year, and they are giving up tons of yards and touchdowns to all positions this season. Look for a shootout, but I don’t think I have the guts to take the points with San Diego on the road.
Bears vs. Browns
This game has finally opened up, and right now it’s a pick em. Both teams are -110, but only threesportsbooks have the NFL Odds out right now. We are still awaiting word on who will start for the Bears this week, and at this point it looks as if Jay Cutler might make his return for the Bears. Even after Josh McCown played so well, if Cutler practices, it seems as if he will play. If Cutler does start, I think the value has to be with the Browns here. Their defense is very good, and going up against the Bears’ defense this season has been anything but difficult. If the Browns go anywhere above even money, I think they are the play.
Tuesday's Odds Report
By: Jordan Sharp
There are several intriguing matchups in the Week 15 NFL Odds, as there are nine home underdogs this week. Let’s take a brief look at a few of the more interesting home dogs, and see if they are worth a bet this week for our NFL picks.
Saints vs. Rams
The Saints have been anything but consistent on the road this season, and this week they are only -5 ½ road favorites in St. Louis, with a total of 47 points. The Rams are just trying to ride out the season and grab the Skins’ first round pick, but they have a serious chance for an upset this week. The Saints are only 2-3-1 ATS in their last six games, and 1-5 ATS on the road this season. If the Rams can play good defense against the Saints, then they might cover here. However with how they have played on offense, it might not happen.
Patriots vs. Dolphins
Even after losing Rob Gronkowski, the Pats are -2 favorites in sunny Miami for Week 15. Without Gronk, the Pats’ pass catching options are extremely limited, and Miami’s pass defense has been very good this season. New England will have to rely on the likes of Danny Amendola and Julian Edelman with Gronk out, and it might really hurt the Pats’ red zone options. I expect them to try and run the ball viciously in this game trying to take advantage of one of the league’s worst run defenses, but ultimately, the Pats won’t win this game unless their young receivers make some plays. For me, the Pats look like the play this weekend, however it would not surprise me to see the Pats fall back into the struggle without their #1 pass catching option. Be overtly cautious betting this game, or just lay off entirely until wee see the Pats’ offense without Gronk.
Monday's Odds Report
By: Jordan Sharp
Chargers vs. Broncos
For the first time since the opening game of the season, the Broncos will play early on a Thursday this week, as they welcome in the Chargers. The NFL Odds have the Broncos as -10 favorites, with a total of 54 points. While ten points is not a lot this season when it comes to the Broncos, the short week is a new challenge for this team, and at least on the defensive end, the Broncos are going to have their hands full trying to slow down the Chargers’ offense. A better course of action might be a bet on the total. Both defenses could hemorrhage points, and even 54 points might not be enough for these two tired defenses on a short week.
Cardinals vs. Titans
One of the first home underdogs to catch my eye is the Titans, who are +3 home underdogs to the Cardinals this week, with a lower total of 41 ½. The Cardinals had a nice win against the Rams this past week, and now they go out on the road to face an undervalued Titans team. Tennessee hung in with Peyton Manning this past week for the first half, and their defense has been playing solidly. However, of all the home underdogs this week, the Titans might not be the best bet. They are going to have a ton of trouble with the Cardinals’ stout defense, and since the Titans’ main weapon is their running game, I see the Cards being able to bottle up the Titans’ offense.
Seahawks vs. Giants
This game is why I can’t say the Titans are the worst home underdog this week, because the Seahawks are coming off only their second loss, and are -7 road favorites in New York this week in the NFL Odds. The Giants got smashed on the road this past week against the Chargers, and even though I doubt they play as bad in Week 15 at home, they are playing against a Seahawks team who are one win away from a divisional clinch. I am finding it really hard to put faith in the Giants this week, even though a +7 underdog is huge at this point in the season.
Bengals vs. Steelers
The Steelers are +2 ½ underdogs this week against the Bengals, and although the Bengals have all but taken control of this division, this could be a very interesting game. The Bengals smashed the Colts this past week to move into the 3rd seed in the AFC, while the Steelers lost a crazy game to the Dolphins in Pittsburgh. While this last week basically buried any chances of a Steelers playoff run, they still could easily play spoiler to their divisional younger brother. If the Steelers win in Week 15 however, they might be helping the Ravens, so it could be a lose/lose scenario for Pittsburgh. However an underdog cash could be nice for us.