Check out two more NFL picks that we believe hold quite a bit of value for Week 13. Are you on the same sides as we are?
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The Jets and Dolphins are dead even in the AFC East at 5-6 SU. Both teams are also 6-5 against the spread, as they get set to do battle for the first time this season.
In last year's meetings, the road team won each time, with Miami winning 30-9 in New York and the Jets squeaking out a 23-20 victory in South Beach.
In Week 13 of this season, we find New York favored by the narrowest of margins at home. The total is mostly at 40 points, but 40.5 is also available at certain sportsbooks.
We've had no trouble picking against the Jets in the past, but as we've talked about before they're miles better at home and that's the main reason we like them to overcome their division foes today. Whereas New York has gone 1-5 on the road, they're 4-1 at home with wins over New England, New Orleans, Buffalo and Tampa Bay.
Both the Jets and Dolphins have struggled offensively, ranking #27 and #28 respectively, but where New York holds the edge is on the other side of the ball.
The Jets are ninth in total defense, thanks in large part to a front seven that's been incredibly good against the run. So good in fact that they're first in the NFL, having allowed 72.6 rushing yards per game.
As we expect New York to win the battle in the trenches, we'll be taking New York to win and cover the short number.
Pick: New York Jets -2
We witnessed a rare tie between Minnesota and Green Bay last week and we'll watch another divisional matchup this Sunday.
Like our first preview, there's nothing in the NFL odds, as the Vikings will come in as one-point favorites for this visit of the Bears.
Chicago is coming off a 42-21 loss at St. Louis and has now alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. In that span the Bears beat Baltimore, Green Bay and the New York Giants and lost to St. Louis, Detroit, Washington and New Orleans.
Josh McCown has done a terrific job since he came in for Jay Cutler, managing the offense very well. Matt Forte continues to run hard and Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery are causing a lot of headaches to opposing secondaries.
That said, the Vikings, despite their rough 2-8 SU record, have been a lot more competitive of the past month or so. They lost a close one in Dallas and were beaten handily at Seattle, but they beat Washington by seven at home and then tied the Packers at Lambeau last weekend.
The slight turnaround has been helped by a more consistent quarterback situation, with Christian Ponder coming off one of his better performances in what's been a highly tumultuous season. Meanwhile, Adrian Peterson just ran for 146 yards and now gets a crack at a Chicago defense that's dead last (145.2 YPG allowed) versus the run.
We're expecting a monster day out of AP, which should help Minnesota control the tempo. And, though the Vikings are out of the playoff picture, they're going to get up for this division battle at home.
Pick: Minnesota Vikings -1