NFL Picks: Week 13 MNF Prop Picks

Jordan Sharp

Monday, December 2, 2013 6:27 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 2, 2013 6:27 PM UTC

Week 13 of the season finishes with probably the best game of the week, and the NFL Odds have the Saints as +6 underdogs, with a total of 48 points. While the odds are intriguing, I have found some prop NFL picks from Bet365 that I feel are as good, if not better value than any spread or total play.

TD Scorer

The Saints have two prolific weapons on offense via Drew Brees and Jimmy Graham. While these two guys get almost all of the attention, guys like Pierre Thomas, Darren Sproles, and Marcus Colston go relatively unnoticed sometimes. While not every one of those aforementioned guys has a big game every week, they are normally the difference in a win or loss.

Tonight, I was on the fence on whether to recommend Sproles or Colston to score a TD, but the better price and value I think is with Coltson. The Seahawks have been good at stopping the run this season, and even with Sproles’ unique skills, I think the Hawks have been much more susceptible to the pass recently.

Brandon Browner is out for this game with an injury, and a pending suspension from the league. With Browner banged up over the last few games, the Hawks have given up four receiving touchdowns in their last three games.

Richard Sherman will likely see most of his time trying to stop Graham, which could mean that Colston sees a 2nd stringer at corner across from him. Colston scored in Week 10, but has been held scoreless since. However I think he gets a big TD in tonight’s game. We already hit on Brent Celek at +225 to score a touchdown this weekend, and I think at +140 in the NFL odds, Colston has good value as well.

My Pick: Marcus Colston TD Scored (+140)

NFL Picks: Saint vs. Seahawks Total Pick

NFL Betting: Saints vs. Seahawks Betting the Spread

3 Unanswered Scores

These two teams are evenly matched both offensively and defensively, and despite sportsbooks listing the Saints as a +6 underdog, I don’t think either one of these teams can score three unanswered times. This is likely going to be a back and forth game, and will likely stay within one or two possessions for its entirety. That, and the value of +140 if neither team scores three unanswered times is enough for me to recommend the ‘No’ tonight.

Not only are these two offenses two of the better ones in the league, but their defenses will be the reason this prop cashes for us. Only twice has the Seattle defense been scored on three unanswered times. The first was in Week 4 against the Texans, who we now know are garbage. We will chalk that one up to a fluke. The second was the Bucs, who went on the road and scored three unanswered times against Seattle to begin the game. However if you remember, the Hawks did pretty much the same thing to comeback and win the game.

This would be the only scenario that scares me. The Hawks could come out in the 1st quarter ready to play, and then Drew Brees gets to 17 points before anyone can open their second beer. However this is a much bigger game than the Bucs and Hawks, and on Monday Night Football, I think Seattle will have no problem getting ready to play early and late in this game.

The Saints’ defense has also not given up three unanswered scores more than one time this season. The only instance was also in Week 9 when the Saints lost to the Jets. This one should be close throughout, so say no to three unanswered scores as your NFL pick.

My Pick: ‘No’ 3 Unanswered Scores (+140)

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