As we reach the home stretch of the NFL season, it’s very important to stretch your bankroll as far as you can. With that being said, we have to look for value in many different places, including some parlays.
A normal two-team parlay in the NFL has little value. The payout is only +250, and considering the extra risk you are taking on, the price does not compensate. However there are ways around this. Taking two teams that are slight underdogs in the moneyline and parlaying them together can nearly double your value, and hardly increase your risk.
I have two moneyline underdogs that I am feeling great about this week, so follow along as we parlay them together to mix up our NFL picks.
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Dolphins vs. Jets
Both of these are somewhat risky, but to me they provide value. The first one is the Dolphins on the road in New York to play the Jets. Slowly but surely, bully-gate has brought this team a little closer together, and the NFL odds only have the Dolphins as +110 underdogs against the Jets.
While New York may have the best front seven in football, their offense may be the worst in all of the NFL. While they can get pressure on teams to turn them over, their offense has done nothing of note over the last several weeks with those turnovers.
That and other reasons are why I like Miami as the first leg of our parlay. Their offensive line played much better this past week, and their offense showed some signs of life because of it. While it might take a couple of breaks going their way, I like the Dolphins here to get the upset on the road.
This one is equally, if not more risky, but the NFL Odds have the Bengals as +105 moneyline underdogs this weekend in San Diego. The Bengals got a big win over the Browns to further supplant them as the AFC North divisional leader, but this game will be very tough for the young Bengals. Traveling across the country at this point in the season is tough, but I also think the Chargers may be a bit overvalued here.
San Diego’s defense has been nowhere to be found this season, and if Andy Dalton can come to play, the Bengals should destroy the Chargers on that side of the ball. Unfortunately, the Bengals’ defense has been injured over the last few weeks, but I still think they can slow down the Chargers’ offense.
Phillip Rivers has been playing great football recently, and he is due for a down game after several games over the last few weeks where he has been good. Still the Bengals’ defense is going to be tough. They have given up an average of only 18 points per game over their last four games, and I think they are being undervalued here because of how the Chargers are playing, and how injured they are. San Diego has won only one of their last four games SU, and even though they were playing Denver, Kansas City and others, I still think they are due for a decline. I’m on the Bengals here as the second leg of my parlay.
My Pick: 2-team parlay: Dolphins +110 & Bengals +105 (+330)