We only have five more weeks of the NFL regular season, and once again I am back on a Monday morning; not to play Monday quarterback, but for a look ahead at some of the more intriguing NFL Odds for this week. We have not one, not two, but three games this Thursday, so let’s take a brief look at all three of those games, as well as a couple more games that could be very valuable in the NFL Odds this week.
Friday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
After gorging myself all of yesterday, I have awoken from my long food coma to find that it’s Friday, and the restart of Week 13 is 48 hours away. There are some very interesting NFL odds remaining this week, and some that may still have some value.
Patriots vs. Texans
Houston welcomes in the Texans this week, and the NFL odds favor the road Patriots anywhere from -7 to -9 ½. After their impressive win over the Broncos this past week, it’s possible the Pats are overvalued here. However things seems to not be able to get much worse for the Texans, and playing with nothing to lose seems to be a recipe for success for some teams. I would not recommend the Pats laying as many as nine points in this game, but -7 might have some value, even if you have to lay some chalk with it.
Giants vs. Redskins
This NFC East divisional battle should be an interesting one, and the NFL Odds favor the road Giants at -1 over the Skins in DC. A lot of sharps seem to like the Skins in this one, but I can’t see either team having much value in this close spread. However, the total of 46 could be undervaluing the struggles of these two defenses. Both teams give up a ton of yards both through the air and on the ground, and against one another, the score could get inflated enough where the over has some value. The Skins are giving up 30 points per game, and the over has cashed in eight of the last 12 times these two have met at Fed Ex Field. If you want to wager on this Sunday primetime game, I would recommend the total instead of the spread.
Tuesday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
After opening up yesterday and taking a look at some of the Thanksgiving Day games, let’s take a look at the start of Sunday, because it should be just as intriguing. The NFL Odds for almost every game are out across boards, and I see a few games that are worth taking a deeper look into.
Titans vs. Colts
Take this AFC South game for instance. The Colts have been playing horrendous football over the last couple of weeks, yet they are -4 home favorites against the Titans in the Week 13 NFL Odds. This is strange to me because not only have the Colts been playing badly, but also the Titans have been getting better over the last few weeks, especially on defense. The Titans are giving up less than 100 yards rushing per game over their last three games, and with their great pass defense, I think they could have value here against a fading Colts. The Titans still have the playoffs in sight in a light AFC conference this season.
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Round two of this showdown should be a good one, the only problem is the Kansas City defense went from dangerous to banged up in one week. Both of KC’s best pass rushers went out in their game against the Chargers this past week, and it remains t be seen whether they will take the field at home against Peyton Manning. The NFL Odds as of Tuesday morning have the Broncos as -3 ½ road favorites in the NFL Odds, with a total of 48 ½. If the Chiefs’ pass rush is not in order for this game, it’s going to make it very difficult for the Chiefs to win. However, their offense showed some great signals this past week, and either way the injury report goes for this Sunday, this should be a great game. The value will be on KC depending on who suits up.
Monday's Opening Odds Report
By: Jordan Sharp
Packers vs. Lions
The Packers were apart of yet another tie, and it might have saved any hopes they have of making the playoffs this season. Because of their comeback and tie against the Vikings this past week, the Packers find themselves only a half game back of the NFC North division lead. They got some help this past week too, as the Bears and Lions lost their games in Week 12. This week however, they have to go into Detroit on a short week, and the NFL Odds have the Lions as -5 ½ favorites with a total of 50 ½. There was a rumor this past weekend that Aaron Rodgers might make his return to the field for this game, but on a short week, I think the Packers will opt to rest him one more week, in order to get that extra time in between their Thanksgiving game, and their Week 14 matchup with Atlanta at home.
Raiders vs. Cowboys
The Cowboys are the first team to play on Thanksgiving that got a win in Week 12, and they come into this week as -9 ½ favorites at home against the Raiders, with a total of 45 ½. Dallas should have no problem winning outright against the Raiders, but the Boys haven’t’ exactly been that consistent this season, and covering nearly a double-digit spread on a short week is not an easy thing to do. Even though the Raiders have not been playing well recently, their defense, and offense for that matter have some upside. They could easily stay with the Cowboys, and that’s why for me, I’m laying off this game with my NFL picks.
These two teams playing once another never gets old from a fan’s perspective, but from an NFL Odds perspective, these two teams always present a dilemma. They always seem to play one another tough, and the NFL Odds this week reflect just that. The NFL Odds have the Ravens as -3 home favorites in this game, with a total of 40 ½ points. Last time these two teams played one another this season, the Steelers came away with a home victory. Will the same thing happen this week, but in reverse? I’m not so sure, and if we are laying off the Cowboys, I think we have to lay off this game entirely. The Steelers have been playing much better football recently, but the Ravens at home should have their defense ramped up enough to slow down the high flying Pittsburgh offense. However the key to this game will be the Ravens’ offense. If they can score early and keep pace with the Steelers, their defense should do the rest. But if you have watched any Ravens games this season, you’ll know that consistency on offense is hard to come by in Baltimore.