Let's focus our attention on what the NFL odds makers are hanging for this week and get out in front of it to include them in our Week 12 NFL picks after a 3-0 ATS day on Thanksgiving.
Turkey Day Trifecta (3-0 ATS) - I should have entitled my Thanksgiving Day article "Welcome to the Jungle" as I bashed the books with the Lions, Panthers and Bears in my NFL picks and you can read about it right here. It was a great way to start Week 12 of the NFL season and we look to keep the good times rolling.
Saints vs. Texans -3 (-120)
Houston is finally getting it done exactly where everyone assumed they would get it done this season and that's on the defensive side of the ball. The Texans have held their last three opponents to an average of less than 10 points per game. On the flipside, The Saints have dropped consecutive games to weak sisters the Titans and Redskins. Play the Texans -3 (-120) at YouWager.
Vikings +1 vs. Falcons
Minnesota had a hiccup in their last outing where they were rolled by the Packers after reeling off five consecutive straight up wins but an even more impressive eight consecutive ATS covers. Minny is boasting the 3rd ranked defense in terms of points allowed as they travel to Atlanta while the Falcons have become far too one dimensional and predictable. Play the Vikings +1 at Pinnacle.
Rams +9 ½ vs. Bengals
Both teams are swooning with the Rams losers of their last three while the Bengals have fallen from grace with consecutive losses to the Texans and last week to the Cardinals. The public will recall Cincinnati's late rally to get the cover but I see a team that is regressing and should not be giving over a touchdown to a Rams team owning a significant pass rush that will give Dandy Andy a case of happy feet when he's in the pocket. Play the Rams +9 ½ at Heritage.
Buccaneers vs. Colts -2 ½ (-115)
It appears a 40-year-old Matt Hasselbeck is indeed the better option than the oft-injured Andrew Luck at 50 percent capacity. Hasselbeck has kept his composure without trying to do too much. He's a wily veteran and former Pro-Bowler who limits mistakes which is all the Colts will need to do against a young Bucs squad coming off Jameis Winston's game of his life. Play the Colts -2 ½ (-115) at Hertiage.
Giants -2 ½ vs. Redskins
New York has had two weeks to prepare for their NFC East divisional rivals following a narrow loss to the New England Patriots. Big Blue is finally putting the pieces together and are poised for one of their patented late season runs while the Redskins have had only one impressive game all season, coming against the mediocre Saints. Play the Giants -2 ½ at Pinnacle.
Raiders Pick (-120) vs. Titans
Who do you love - Carr or Mariota? It's not the only thing but it is indeed a big thing in determining which team to play here. The NFL odds makers are labeling it a pick'em and who can blame them? The Raiders have a bit more of an arsenal at their disposal as evidenced by their 11th ranked passing game (versus 25th for the Titans) and certainly score a whole bunch more (24 PPG vs. 18.2 PPG). Don't mortgage the house on this one but if you decide to bet a dinner then go with the Raiders at a pick (-120) at 5Dimes.
Bills +7 (-125) vs. Chiefs
Most of the NFL odds makers are hanging this one at 6 ½ but do yourself a favor in this case and in every case that you're only a half point away from a critical number like 3 or 7 and buy that hook! The Bills are getting healthier as the season progresses while the Chiefs have undoubtedly looked their best over the last three games. The Bills have played better as well so why not grab the head start in a game that should be tighter than most anticipate. Play the Bills +7 (-125) at JustBet.
Dolphins vs. Jets -3 (-125)
Neither team has done much recently but the Jets still boast an impressive defense despite Darrelle Revis being ruled out due to a concussion. New York needs a win and they get it by a touchdown at home this week. Play the Jets -3 (-125) at Heritage.
Chargers +5 vs. Jaguars
While I'm as impressed as the next guy over the Jags recent winning ways I cannot help but dwell on the fact that their wins have been over weak sisters Baltimore and Tennessee. As much as I hate to back the dogs (and I don't mean underdogs, I mean heartless, gutless and spineless dogs) that are the San Diego Chargers I cannot help but notice that their 3rd ranked passing attack will undoubtedly keep them in this one against a team that probably shouldn't be laying north of a field goal to anyone...even at home. Play the Bolts +5 at Pinnacle.
Cardinals vs. 49ers +11 ½ (-125)
As long as Blaine Gabbert gets the call over Colin Kaepernick (which he will) then give me those Niners and all those juicy points at home. As woeful as this season has been for San Francisco they are 3-2 straight up and against the spread at home this season. When last Gabbert guided his forces at Levi's Stadium the 49ers stunned the Falcons 17-16. No victory on Sunday over the more talented Cardinals but I say they keep it close...enough. Play the 49ers +11 ½ only at 5Dimes.
Steelers +3 ½ vs. Seahawks
Like the big bully who got fat and lazy the Seattle Seahawks no longer scare me. The Steelers are winners of their last two and may finally see an opportunity to win the AFC North in light of Cincinnati's recent travails. Grab the points and play the Steelers +3 ½ at Heritage.
Patriots vs. Broncos +3 (-120)
How many weapons can a fighter jet lose until it eventually becomes a real cool passenger plane? That's the question we have to ask after the Pats have watched Dion Lewis, Julien Edelman, Danny Amendola, Aaron Dobson and a host of offensive linemen succumb to the injury bug that has plagued New England. If they lose a game this season it happens at Mile High. Play the Broncos +3 (-120) at YouWager.