NFL Picks: Week 12 Fades & Games to Avoid

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, November 19, 2013 2:34 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2013 2:34 PM UTC

Find out which of the Week 12 NFL matchups we are avoiding at all cost with our sports picks. Why do we believe that certain betting lines offer little to no value for our sports betting needs?

This is the final weekend of byes with 14 games on the docket for NFL football handicappers seeking edges. Even though the pickings are rather slim, in checking out the sportsbooks numbers, it was harder picking on the Kardashian’s than to find a trio sports picks to avoid thus upcoming Sunday.

Be sure to take a look at our NFL Picks: Week 12 Betting Odds Report.

AFC South Matchup is no Showdown

All season long we have followed Jacksonville’s exploits with much delight, being among the least talented rosters in several years. The Jaguars have been the butt of jokes from late night television to those on Twitter, trying to make light of Jacksonville in 140 characters or less. 

But what is Houston’s excuse? The Texans are only one game better than the Jags at 2-8 and let’s be honest; they should have lost their season opener at San Diego. 

Houston opened as a 10-point home favorite at most online sportsbooks, but would you really want to make one of your NFL picks on a team that lost to Oakland at home against a free agent quarterback Matt McGloin making his first NFL start? 

Let’s toss in the drama with quarterback Matt Schaub returning to the field with wide receiver Andre Johnson and the Texans situation is boiling over.  "Whatever is beyond frustrated, that's where I'm at," Texans defensive end J.J. Watt said after the game. 

Conversely, backing Jacksonville could be as painful as sleeping on a bed of nails or listening to another George Zimmerman story. Pass!


Colts and Cardinals Could Be Confusing 

After playing like a potentially elite team in the NFL, Indianapolis has taken a step backwards with two poor first half performances against St. Louis and Tennessee. Even after the Colts awoke from their slumber against the Titans, they could not hold a 10-point lead and ended up with a Push at Nashville.

This leads to the next step in this non-conference confrontation, what to make of Arizona. They failed to win or cover against San Francisco and Seattle, nonetheless, have beaten teams they should have in Atlanta, Houston and Jacksonville. As we all have witnessed when a team grows in confidence, they can beat the NFL odds for extended periods.

This to me has all the makings of a tough call in the Bruce Arians Bowl.


NFC East Encounter a Real Dilemma 

"Anytime you win four in a row, there are some good things happening," Head coach Tom Coughlin said after his team defeated Green Bay. No argument here on that quote, but my follow up question to him would have been, “Coach, then what would say about starting the season 0-6?” 

New York was never bad enough they should have started with six consecutive losses and they have been fortunate enough to face opposing quarterbacks either as backups, making their first start with a new team or injured and not at full strength. How good are the Giants, does anyone really know?

Than we have Dallas, who is the poster team for mediocrity with a 40-40 record in their last 80 contests and once again is showing no signs of being particularly good or bad over the course of a season. The Cowboys can shine one week and fail the next and it is no coincidence Tony Romo and Jerry Jones are the common links in this insignificance. 

With the Cowboys 20-36 against the spread in road games when playing against a team with a losing record and New York 30-54 ATS in November affairs, here is a great idea, make a late afternoon trip to the best restaurant in town where the money would be better used. 


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