SBR's Peter Loshak shares his week 12 betting parlay, here he'll break down the public vs. sharp action in search of betting value to generate 5 plays worth adding to your NFL picks.
NFL Week 12 has attracted a lot of sharp action as of Friday, including two different games where multiple sharp outfits have come in on opposite sides of the spread.
If you're not sure what to make of the huge road favorite spread in the Arizona/San Francisco game, the sharp money collectively feels the same; sharp action reportedly came in both on Arizona at -10 and the Niners at +10.
The Dolphins/Jets game has also taken two-way sharp action, although in that game the line was key, with the sharp money on the Dolphins coming at +4, while the sharps liking the Jets took -3.
One play that might be shaping up to be one particularly favored by the sharps this week is the Saints coming off of their bye week, on the road at Tennessee. Sharp money has so far backed the Saints both on the spread at +3, as well as to win the game outright when getting +145 on the NFL odds board..
The Minnesota Vikings of course have been one of the most profitable teams in the NFL this year, although they are coming off an ATS loss, and this week they are matched up against the Falcons, who have lost an eye-opening 6 straight games ATS. The public has come around to the Vikings' cashing ways, and is favoring them at sportsbooks so far this week, and early sharp action also reportedly liked the Vikings at +2.
The two biggest public sides this week so far appear to be the Patriots and the Giants.
The Pats are dealing with more and more injuries each week, but they have still managed to stay undefeated, and that is enough to get the public backing them as a road favorite at Denver.
And the Giants are coming out of their bye week, with their last game being a close competitive loss and ATS cover against the Pats, while the Redskins have generally been an unimpressive team overall this year. So it's no surprise at all that the public is backing the Giants at a high percentage with their NFL picks, but it's noteworthy though that some sharp action did come in the other way, on the Redskins at +3.
In my parlay this week for the Pete’s Parlay Show, I have 5 legs, including one that is mostly a blind tail of some of the reported sharp action that has come in over the course of the week.
5-Plays Parlay NFL Picks: Saints +3 / Buccaneers/Colts Under 46.5 / Bills/Chiefs Under 41.5 / Raiders/Titans Over 44 / Dolphins +4