NFL Picks: Week 11 Opening Odds Report

Jordan Sharp

Monday, November 10, 2014 7:34 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 10, 2014 7:34 PM UTC

We take a look at the opening NFL odds for the Week 11 matchups in hopes of locating early value. Do any lines stand out, and which games are we looking to with our early week NFL picks?

Bills vs. Dolphins
The game that kicks off Week 11 on Thursday night might not be the greatest game, but it could have some nice NFL Odds value. The Bills head down to Miami for a short week game, and the NFL Odds have the Fins as a -5 favorite, with a lower total of 42 points. While Buffalo didn’t look great last week, they didn’t look bad either, while the Dolphins did look pretty bad trying to play the Lions on the road. The Bills have a similar defense to the Lions with their great pass rush, and if the Fins had problems last week, on a short week they might once again. Look for the line to drop, and possibly for the Bills to be a solid play at +5.

Texans vs. Browns
While it may not be the most desirable game to watch this Sunday, the Browns are America’s team, and they may be a good value against the Texans this week. Houston is coming off their bye so they’ll be rested, but with the Browns’ defense back to playing well, the Texans’ offense might be slow out of the gate this week. The NFL Odds have the Browns as -3 favorites with a total of 42 at 5Dimes, and if Cleveland can continue the defensive intensity, they are the play.

Bengals vs. Saints
The Bengals have all but collapsed, and this week might be the final nail in their coffin. The Saints are at home and the NFL Odds have them as a -6 ½ favorite, with a total of 50 ½. With the Bengals’ defense playing as bad as they are, the Saints are not only a great value this week, they may be the best early week NFL Pick currently on the board.

Seahawks vs. Chiefs
One of the more undervalued games this week could be the Chiefs and Seahawks. The NFL Odds have this game as a pick em, however there are some other shops that have the NFL Odds at -1 in favor of either team. While this line is far from settling, the game itself will be a close one no matter what the NFL Odds close at. Look for this one to close slightly in favor of the Hawks, but don’t be surprised if the line closes right at an even pick em with minimal chalk.

Patriots vs. Colts
Sunday night’s game should be an epic one, as the Colts play host to the Patriots. The NFL Odds have the Colts as a -2 ½ favorite, with a total of 57 points. While it’s the largest total of the week by far, the spread might be dropping some by game time on Sunday evening. The Pats have everything they need to beat the Colts in this game, and as long as their defense travels with them, they should be a good play here. On the other side, the under might be a good play as well. With the high total, and two solid defenses going up against one another late in the season, it could be a nice contrarian play for Week 11’s NFL Odds.


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