I am back this week with another 2-team parlay, but instead of focusing on underdogs this week, I am going back to picking straight spreads. A 2-team parlay payout here would pay a smooth +260, so follow along and see if you agree that therse two NFL picks are two of the best values for Week 10.
One week after getting pummeled at the hands of the Eagles, the Raiders have to travel across the country this week to play the Giants in Jersey. Currently, the NFL Odds have the Giants as -9 ½ favorites, and I think it is seriously overvaluing them, even at home. Sure the Raiders didn’t play well last week, but that does nothing for them this week. The Eagles are a much better team that the Giants, and I think we will start to see that this week with Oakland coming to town.
If the Raiders’ defense can actually show up this week, (I don’t see how they can’t after that game last week) they have a great chance at covering this lofty spread. There is a reason the Giants have only won two games this season. They can’t rush the passer, they subsequently can’t stop the pass, and Eli Manning has been wildly inconsistent. Some of those things have improved over the last few weeks, but going up against Terrelle Pryor, the Giants overrated defense is going to have trouble.
The Raiders likely won’t have Darren McFadden, but I don’t think that means as much as some believe. The Giants have little to no running game also, and if it comes down to a battle of the secondaries, I’ll take the Raiders secondary nine times out of ten. I’m taking points here.
This game is going to go a long way in deciding the champion of the AFC North, and I think both teams are well aware of this. The NFL Odds for this one favor the road Bengals by just -1, with a total of 44. With the Ravens playing horrific on the offensive end, I see the Bengals coming away with the win here on the road.
Gio Bernard is at practice this week, as is Jermaine Gresham. If the Bengals can get back a few of their big guys on defense, this should be a less competitive game than the spread suggests. Both of these teams have very good, comparable defenses, but the Bengals’ offense is miles ahead of the defending champions right now.
The Bengals are actually 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings overall with the Ravens, and I see them improving on that. Andy Dalton is playing like the breakout quarterback of the season right now, and he has the weapons to support him. The Ravens don’t have enough in their secondary to completely shut down both AJ Green, and the rest of the Bengals’ pass catchers. The Ravens have not been great against tight ends this season, giving up 29 receptions and five TDs to opposing TEs. With Gresham and rookie Tyler Eifert playing well, the Bengals should kill the Ravens in the middle of the field. I am laying the -1 with Cincinnati, the changing of the AFC North guard happens Sunday.
My Pick: 2-team parlay Raiders +9 ½ & Bengals -1 (+260)[gameodds]16/227002/?r-1=43-19-349-192/us[/gameodds]