NFL Picks: Week 1 NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, September 5, 2013 6:25 PM GMT

After four months of covering offseason and preseason NFL, we have finally reached the regular season, and the NFL odds are ripe for the taking. I have three NFL picks going this Sunday that I feel very good about.

Check out our Week 1 Opening Odds Report!

Giants vs. Cowboys 

This game will once again fill a national television slot on Sunday night, and it should not disappoint. With the other two NFC East teams facing off on Monday night in primetime, this is a very important game right off the bat in 2013. The NFL odds for this game favor the Cowboys at -3 ½, with a total of 48 ½. 

We all know the Cowboys are normally overvalued, and it seems that 2013 will be no different. Dallas has lost five of their last six games against the Giants in Dallas, and the Giants are 6-2 SU in their last eight games against the Cowboys overall. On top of that, Dallas is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games.

I don’t see the Cowboys’ defense playing too well in this game against a very good Giants passing attack, and while ther should be plenty of points to go around in this game, I think a play on the Giants is the best way to go in this one.

My Pick: Giants +3 ½

[gameodds]16/226881/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19/us[/gameodds]

Dolphins vs. Browns

Two teams with sophomore quarterbacks and higher hopes than last season take the field against one another in Cleveland, as the Browns host the Fins. The NFL odds for this one are even at a pick em’ and the total sits at 41 points. While both of these teams averaged less than 20 points per game last season, it appears as if their offenses will both be solidly improved from 2012.

Norv Turner will not have Josh Gordon in this game as he is serving his suspension, but I still like the upside of the Browns. With the exception of their Week 3 preseason hiccup, Cleveland looked good on offense during the preseason. Trent Richardson should have a good day against the beatable Dolphins rushing defense, and if Brandon Weeden can manage the game, the Browns should score well into the 20s. 

On the other side, with the emergence of Lamar Miller and the addition of Mike Wallace to the arsenal of Ryan Tannehill, the Fins look like a solid offensive unit as well. There is some concern at the tackle position, but against the Browns, they too could score the ball. Just because of the value of a low total like 41, a play on the over is the best option for our sports picks in this even game. Overtime could ensue.

My Pick: ‘Over’ 41

[gameodds]16/226876/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19/us[/gameodds] 

Cardinals vs. Rams 

The Cardinals come in as +4 ½ underdogs in the NFL odds as they visit a divisional foe in Week 1 as well. In the dome this week and with a new passing offense, the Cardinals look like a nice sleeper team in this game and this season. Against a Rams team that could be hard pressed to score early on, a close game or outright win for the Cards is likely on Sunday afternoon.

Arizona has covered in two of their last three trips and three of their last five games in St. Louis, and this season they have a superior team on both sides of the ball. The Cards’ offensive line will have to hold up against a very good pass rush from St. Louis, but as +4 ½ underdogs, they are undervalued by more than a point in my eyes. I’ll gladly take points with the Cards. 

My Pick: Cardinals +4 ½

[gameodds]16/226880/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19/us[/gameodds]