NFL Picks: Week 1 Betting Trends That You Need at Your Fingertips

Nikki Adams

Thursday, September 10, 2015 10:42 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 10, 2015 10:42 PM UTC

Join us as we rundown the NFL betting trends in this informative column that we’ve sorted expressly to serve your handicapping needs. Check these out before placing your final NFL bets in week 1.

Steelers vs. Patriots
By the stats
: Steelers are 2-4 ATS against the Patriots in the last six games on the road, which includes a 55-31 loss at Gillette Stadium in 2013, highlighted by a 6-point spread which the Patriots easily covered and a 43-point total which the Patriots cracked on their own merit. This is the first meeting between these two outfits since that offensive feast and if it lives up to its precursor it could be one of the best games in week 1 NFL betting. As it is, the game is nestled on a 7-point spread with the total hovering at 51-points. Patriots went 7-1 SU at home last season and the OVER has cashed in 11 of their last 15 home games.


Panthers vs. Jaguars
By the stats
: We turn to one glaring stat for this game: the Jaguars are 5-19 SU in their last 24 games at home. The franchise hopes to enjoy a turnaround season and improve on a 3-13 SU record in 2014, but with the Carolina Panthers in week 1 NFL betting they’ll be hard pressed to upset the NFL betting trends. Enough said.


Browns vs. Jets
By the stats
: The Browns are a shocking 5-20 SU on the road in their last 25 games while the Jets are 1-6 SU in their last seven home games. Both sides come into the 2015-2016 NFL betting season amidst high hopes and sporting a lot of new personnel. These stats can easily be rendered a moot point in week 1. When in doubt, take the home team on your NFL picks.


Packers vs. Bears
By the stats
: Of all the games on the schedule in week 1 of the NFL, this has to be the most straightforward to predict, a notion that is underscored by the guiding numbers. Packers are 9-1 SU against the Bears in the last ten games overall and they are 5-0 SU against the Bears at Soldier Field in the last five meetings on the road. What’s more, the Bears are 1-8 ATS against the Packers. It’s a no brainer, right?


Colts vs. Bills
By the stats
: This matchup yields some rather eyebrow raising NFL betting trends. Did you know the Colts were just 5-18 SU against the Bills in the last 23 games when playing in Buffalo? Or that the Colts are just 4-11-1 ATS against the Bills in Buffalo? Talk about a strong case to go against the grain and back the home dogs Bills as the 2.5-point home pups in week 1 NFL betting. Bills are 4-1 SU in their last five games and the UNDER has hit in seven of their last eight games. That said this is the first meeting between the Colts and Bills since 2012 when the Colts won 20-13 at Lucas Oil Stadium, coming through as the 2-point home faves.


Chiefs vs. Texans
By the stats
: The pair have split their last 6 meetings evenly SU, as well they have gone 3-3 ATS and the OVER-UNDER has gone 3-3. No wonder the difficulty of predicting this game is so glaring. The Chiefs are 2-4 ATS in their last six games on the road and the total has gone UNDER in five of their last six games on the road; two titbits that might make a case for taking the Texans at home to the Chiefs as the 1-point home faves perhaps. That said, the Chiefs won the least meeting 17-16, even though the Texans covered as the 6.5-point road underdogs and the UNDER 38.5 cashed. Of all the games, this one figures to be a right tossup mainly against the spread with NFL bettors split down the middle. As far as straight up bets are concerned, Vegas Insider and various sports betting odds checking outlets are recording a significant push towards the Chiefs to win straight up.


Dolphins vs. Redskins
By the stats
: The NFL trends for this matchup are somewhat conflicting. The Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall while the Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games. The total has gone OVER in four of Miami’s last six games while the total has gone UNDER in four of Washington’s last six games. Can you make heads or tails of this? Add to that a 2-2 SU record between this pair in the last four meetings and a 1-2-1 ATS mark for the Dolphins, who are the 3.5-point road faves in current NFL betting markets, and it’s anybody’s guess which way to roll the dice. Perhaps just stick with total betting here as these two sides are 1-3 in over-under betting. That said, these trends are outdated, dating back to 2011. A lot has changed in both camps since.


Seahawks vs. Rams
By the stats
: Surprisingly, the Seahawks are just 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings with the Rams on the road and 5-5 ATS in their last ten meetings overall. Does this mean that NFL bettors should consider tickling the Rams as the 4-point home underdogs (current NFL odds) on their NFL picks? Maybe. The Rams played the Seahawks tough in their last meeting, stunning them 28-26 at home, all while covering as the 6.5-point home underdogs. It’s worth mentioning, however, that the Seahawks are 7-3 SU in their last ten meetings overall with the Rams.


Lions vs. Chargers
By the stats:
The Lions are 4-2 SU on the road in their last six games while the Chargers are 8-3 SU in their last 11 home games. Something is going to have to give when these two sides collide on Sunday, marking week 1 of the NFL betting. The pair haven’t met since 2011 when Detroit beat San Diego 38-10 and came through as the 1-point home underdogs. To date, that’s the only win by the Lions in an otherwise dominating 4-1 SU performance by the Chargers over the Lions. Still, those meetings are outdated and these are essentially two different teams now. This is another right tossup in week 1 NFL betting that has NFL bettors split down the middle.


Saints vs. Cardinals
By the stats:
The Saints have the convincing 9-4 SU record over the Cardinals in the last 13 meetings overall. As well, they are 6-2 ATS against the Cards in the last six meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games between this pair. However, taking a more concentrated look, the Saints nudge the Cards only 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings, meaning it's been a much closer call in recent seasons. The Saints won the last meeting 31-7 in 2013, but that was two years ago. Since then the Cards have been steadily on the up while the Saints have fallen from grace.


Ravens vs. Broncos
By the stats:
The NFL betting trends that most bettors are likely to sink their teeth into here is those that pertain to the Broncos. They are 8-1 SU in their last 9 home games and 16-6 SU in their last 22 games overall. Since 2012, the Broncos boast a league-leading 40-13-0 record overall and a 24-4-0 record at home. Hard to argue with those stats, no matter how good the Ravens are when playing on the road as the underdogs, something that they relish by all accounts.


Bengals vs. Raiders
By the stats:
The Raiders are a poorly 7-25 SU in their last 32 games overall since 2013, which includes a 6-9 SU record at home. Bengals, meanwhile, are just 8-9 SU on the road since 2013 but 21-12-1 SU overall spanning the same stretch. The Raiders are 2-6 ATS against the Bengals in their last eight meetings when playing Cincinnati. There is a positive 4-2 SU record that the Raiders claim over the Bengals, but the last win goes back to 2009 – an entirely different era for both teams. The Bengals won the last meeting in 2012 34-10, covering as the 7.5-point home chalk.


Titans vs. Buccaneers
By the stats:
The Titans are 6-1 SU over the Buccaneers in the last seven games overall while the Buccaneers went 0-8 SU at home last season to extend their home losing record to 3-13 since 2013. New quarterbacks, revamped rosters and new schemes feature in this matchup. It’s a right tossup for your NFL picks and these NFL betting trends probably won’t have much bearing on the result.


Giants vs. Cowboys
By the stats:
In the last ten meetings, the Cowboys are 6-4 SU but 5-5 ATS against the Giants overall. So, advantage Cowboys on the NFL odds board. That said, the Cowboys boast a favourable 5-1 SU record over the Giants in their last six meetings but a 2-4 SU record in their last six meetings when playing the Giants at the AT&T Stadium. Which of these NFL betting trends will prove deciding in week 1 when the pair collide in Dallas? The best case is found for the OVER in total betting, which has gone 8-2 against the NFL odds in the last ten meetings. Perhaps, that’s the value NFL pick in this game. You decide.


Eagles vs. Falcons
By the stats:
The Eagles boast a subpar 2-4 SU record against Atlanta in the last six meetings at the Georgia Dome and the total has gone UNDER in five of the last six games in Atlanta. The accounts of both these two outfits, personified by the numerous changes each organisation has undergone during the offseason, has us throwing these NFL betting trends out of the window.


Vikings vs. Niners
By the stats: The Vikings are just 2-14-1 SU in their last 17 games on the road and 2-6-1 ATS on the road to San Francisco 49ers. Yet, there are those NFL bettors that are heavy on the Vikings in week 1 of the regular season when they take on the Niners at Levi Stadium, thanks to a convincing 4-1 SU record in the preseason. As well, it helps the Vikings’ cause that the Niners are just 1-4 SU in their last five games overall and 4-5 SU against the Vikings in the last nine meetings.

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