NFL Picks: Washington Redskins Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Monday, August 17, 2015 6:26 PM GMT

Monday, Aug. 17, 2015 6:26 PM GMT

The Washington Redskins finished 4-12 and last in the NFC East last season, but have they done much this off-season to expect any marked improvement this upcoming year?

 

The 2015 NFL season commences on Thursday, September 10th, but before we get to that Kickoff Weekend, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks well in advance of Week 1. Today we are profiling the Washington Redskins, who finished 4-12 in 2014 and in fourth place in the NFC East.

First off, here is a summary of the Washington betting statistics over the past five seasons. Please note that all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

Washington Redskins Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  18-21-1  20-20  38-41-1  
ATS Favorite  4-8  3-3  7-11
ATS Underdog    13-13-1    17-16  30-29-1
Avg. Margin  -4.6   -5.1  -4.8
Over – Under  19-21  19-20-1    38-41-1
Avg. Total Score    46.9  45.9  46.4

 

Although there is not much in the Redskins’ splits over the last five years other than maybe the 33.3 percent ATS rate as a home favorite over just 12 samplings, what does stick out is their lack of a home field advantage, with their negative -4.6 AMOV at FedEx Field not varying much from their AMOV of -5.1 on the road. Also, not seen here is their dismal 28-52 overall straight up record despite winning a division title at 10-6 in 2012.
Key Trend: The ‘under’ is 21-10, 67.7 percent in all Washington home conference games.

Up next, let us take a look at the Redskins’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Washington Redskins Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  18.8  26th  27.4  30th
Rushing  105.7  18th  107.3  12th
Yds. Per Rush    4.2  14th  4.1  13th
Passing  252.9  12th  248.1  22nd
Yds Per Pass   7.4  6th  7.6  30th
Total Yards  358.6  13th  355.4  19th
Yds. Per Play  6.1  6th  6.1  27th

 

The Redskins actually had a better passing offense than many people realized last year, but the running game was disappointing and the defense allowed far too many big plays in yielding 7.6 yards per pass attempt. That led to a 4-12 finish that was only marginally better than the 3-13 record of 2013, and also to the departure of defensive coordinator Jim Haslett following a season-ending 44-17 home loss to the rival Dallas Cowboys.

And now we take a peek at various Washington Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Washington Redskins NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +25000  +13923  +12500  +24000
NFC Conf. Odds  +7000  +7421  +6600  +6800
NFC East Odds  +1500  +2000  +1400  +1450
Win Total  6½ un-155    6 ov-149  6½ un-150    6½ un-150  

 

It looks like sportsbooks expect six wins from the Redskins this season, which would be a two-game improvement over last year. However, Washington still projects to finish in last place for the third straight year with the longest odds to win the division of any NFC East team.

 

Washington Redskins Key Additions
The Redskins hope to improve that bad passing defense of last season this year with the veteran additions of nose tackle Terrance Knighton, safety Dashon Goldson and cornerback Chris Culliver. As for the offense, the most important new member may have been added via the draft in the Washington first round draft pick, tackle Brandon Scherff, who may have been a bit of a reach as the fifth overall pick but certainly fills a glaring need.

Washington Redskins Key Losses
The offense lost running back Roy Helu and wide receiver Leonard Hankerson, each of who had a few bright moments for Washington last year. The most notable loss on defense was linebacker Brian Orakpo, with other defections including defensive end Jarvis Jenkins and safety Ryan Clark.

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