NFL Picks: Vikings vs. Seahawks

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, November 14, 2013 7:58 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 7:58 PM GMT

The Vikings, coming off a victory at home, invade the Great Northwest while the Seahawks look to extend their current five-game winning streak but where does the value lie in our NFL odds preview?

Check out SBRs NFL Week 11 Betting Odds Report

Minnesota Vikings (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS)

The Vikings snapped a four-game losing streak by winning a shootout over RG3 and the Washington Redskins last week. Unfortunately that victory came at a cost as Minnesota QB Christian Ponder left the game with a dislocated shoulder in his non-throwing arm.  If Ponder sits then the team will turn to either Josh freeman or Matt Cassel.  Regardless who gets the nod, the passing game will be severely tested as they line up against the number two ranked passing defense in the league. 

Though passing against the Seahawks will be a huge issue for the Vikings to contend with they do have All-World running back Adrian Peterson in the backfield who added a pair of touchdowns to his collection last week against the Redskins.  Peterson would like to replicate his performance when last these teams met in November of last year as Peterson shredded the Seahawks to the tune of 182 yards and two TD’s in a 30-20 loss.  If Peterson finds the sledding tough then Jerome Simpson and Greg Jennings will be the primary targets for whoever is pulling the trigger for the Vikings.

Seattle Seahawks (9-1 SU, 5-4 ATS)

If Seattle didn’t scare you before then you might want to consider they are now armed with the considerable talents of former Viking Percy Harvin for Sunday afternoon’s showdown at CenturyLink Field.  Harvin has been out this season rehabbing a hip injury and will spell double trouble for a Vikings secondary that will also have to contend with Golden Tate.  If the passing game sputters then all Russell Wilson has to do is hand the ball off to Marshawn Lynch who had a stellar performance last week by picking up a season-high 145 yards and a trip into the endzone. 

The Seahawks boast a ferocious defense, ranked 2nd against the pass and 3rd in total yards allowed.  They have won 12 straight at home since the beginning of last season and are looking to string together their sixth straight win of this season.  The major cause for concern for the Seahawks will be the health of three offensive linemen and defensive end Red Bryant who are all dealing with various and sundry injury issues.  Though the offensive line is beat up the good news is that Russell Wilson is not only an adept pocket passer but has the legs to scramble out of trouble if the Minnesota pass rush breaks through.  Fortunately for the Seahawks, Minnesota’s pass rush hasn’t exactly struck fear into the hearts of opposing quarterbacks, currently ranking only 22nd in sacks.   

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Free Pick:

I realize that to the casual observer that betting the Seahawks harnessed with NFL odds at a 12 ½ point impost sounds like a square play because we all know the sharps and the wiseguys make oodles of money betting road dogs while the public gets buried.  Yeah, and the NFL fixes every game right on through to the Super Bowl and nobody knows about this grand conspiracy.  It’s malarkey that road dogs cover every time and though the public certainly has a proclivity for betting home chalk, it’s not always the wrong move.

In short, Seattle is too much for a Vikings team that really isn’t very good even with their starting quarterback in perfect health never mind a major injury.  Whether it is Ponder, Cassel or Freeman it’s all going to add up to a big loss for the Nordsmen who simply cannot stop the offensive weapons that Seattle boasts nor can it legitimately expect AP to single handedly keep this game close. I recommend the readers back Seattle for their NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Seattle 12 ½ at Bet365.com.

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