NFL Picks: Vikings vs. Packers

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, November 20, 2013 2:15 PM GMT

Aaron Rodgers remains out, but can the Packers cope and get a crucial divisional win over the Vikings in Week 12?

Odds Overview

Even with Rodgers unavailable, the Packers are favored by 4.5 points at the sportsbooks, though a spread of five can also be found if you like the points with the Vikings.

The total for this one is at 44 points. The OVER has hit in eight of Minnesota's ten games this season, while the UNDER has hit in six of Green Bay's ten matchups.

Minnesota Vikings

A tough season got even worse last weekend as the Vikings fell victim to the Seahawks at CenturyLink Field.

Minnesota was actually making a game of it in the first half, but Seattle scored a touchdown right before halftime and then out-scored the Vikings 17-7 in the second half. In the end, the Seahawks were 41-20 victors, giving Minnesota backers an ATS loss.

The quarterback situation didn't get any better, as Christian Ponder struggled, completing 13-of-22 passes for 129 yards, while throwing one touchdown and getting picked off twice. He also lost a fumble.

The Seahawks did a nice job of limiting Adrian Peterson's effectiveness, as he ran 21 times for only 65 yards.

AP has been dealing with a nagging groin injury, but that's the least of Minnesota's worries. They've having major issues on both sides of the ball – they're currently ranked #26 in total offense and all the way down at #30 in total defense.

Check out the live NFL betting lines for yourself at SBRodds.com!

NFL Picks: NFL Week 12 Betting Odds Report

Green Bay Packers

So now we know just how important Aaron Rodgers is to this franchise.

The Packers have lost three straight, starting with that home game against Chicago where Rodgers went down in the first quarter. They fell to the Bears by seven and then lost to Philadelphia (27-13) and the New York Giants (27-13).

Third-string QB Scott Tolzien passed for 339 yards, but couldn't record a touchdown. He did however throw three interceptions and has now thrown just one touchdown against five picks on the season.

Jordy Nelson (eight receptions for 117 yards) and Jarrett Boykin (six catches for 91 yards) stood out as receivers, while Eddie Lacy had 48 total yards and Green Bay's lone touchdown.

Still, slowly but surely Green Bay is seeing their playoff aspirations disappear. They need to get Rodgers back as soon as possible, but even then they have to do better on the defensive side of the football as well. They're #18 in total defense and have primarily been getting torched in the passing game.

NFL Pick

Tolzien sure is giving it everything he's got, and he has shown he can move the chains. Will that be enough to lead Green Bay to their first win in four games?

We believe so. The Packers still have a ton of weapons and you know they're always going to get tremendous crowd support regardless of how the team is doing. The Green Bay faithful will continue to rally behind Tolzien as he tries to get the team back on track.

Meanwhile, the Vikings are having all sorts of trouble in a lot of different areas. So with our NFL picks, let's add the Packers as home favorites.

Pick: Green Bay Packers -4.5

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