NFL Picks: Vikings vs. Giants Betting the Spread

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, October 17, 2013 5:42 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 17, 2013 5:42 PM UTC

Monday Night Football this week is a lackluster, but very interesting matchup between the 0-6 SU Giants hosting the 1-4 SU Vikings.

NFL Picks: Vikings vs. Giants spread pick 

The NFL Odds for this game favor the Giants at -3 ½, with a total of 46 ½. Will the struggles of the Giants leave them without a win again on Monday, or will they start to finally turn things around in Week 7? 

AP Show

With the news that Josh Freeman will start this game for the Vikings, it creates and solves several problems all at once. Even though Freeman is certainly an upgrade from Christian Ponder and Matt Cassel, he isn’t much if an improvement. On top of everything, Freeman has had less than 2 weeks of practice with the team since he was acquired last week. That is going to make it very difficult to learn even most of the playbook.

That being said, this game should feature around 30 touches for the game’s best running back, Adrian Peterson. AP will be the only deadly weapon the Vikings have in this game, and against the soft Giants’ run defense, I expect well over 100 all purpose yards for Peterson in this game. Although he did not run well last week, would you have under his circumstances? 

Defense matters

Neither one of these teams have a very good defense, and although the Vikings’ secondary is awful, their front seven isn’t bad. They have been at the very least solid against the run this season, and Jared Allen already has 3.5 sacks, leading the team. The Vikings will only have to rush a few guys in this game to counter attack the soft Giants offensive line, and by doing that, they will be able to drop more men into coverage to counter the Giants’ passing game. 

With the Giants being so one dimensional, Minnesota has the advantage in this game. Not only will they be able to run the ball to keep Eli Manning off the field, but they will be able to drop more guys out of the box with Brandon Jacobs running the ball. Jacobs looked good against the Bears in Week 6, however Chicago is started a DE and a practice squad player at DT in that game, and Jacobs won’t have the same success against Kevin Williams and company. 

Go back in time and see where the odds have moved from for this game~

The Sharp Pick

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Even though I am far from a Josh Freeman fan, I think he has enough to keep the Vikings within three points in the final score. The Vikings have some nice success against the Giants, going 4-1 SU in their last five meetings overall with the G-Men. 

On top of that, the Giants are only 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games at home against the Vikings. The Minnesota defense is going to sell out to stop the pass like everyone has done against the Giants this season, and with the best running back in the entire world on the side of the Vikings, I see them having enough to win this likely ugly game for our NFL Picks. The Giants have zero pass rush right now, and if you give Freeman enough time, he does have the arm to get the ball downfield, it’s just the matter of getting it into the hands of his receiver accurately. 

My Pick: Vikings +3 ½ 

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