NFL Picks: Value Underdog Plays for Week 8 Betting

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, October 28, 2015 9:33 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2015 9:33 PM UTC

The NFL odds for week 8 serve up many big matchups to spot, where upsets and surprises could occur. Here’s our selection for the sleepers in week 8 that could deliver at the cash window.

Bears Over Vikings
The Bears are coming off a bye week that could prove hugely advantageous when they face off against the Vikings, who are playing a second straight road game. Bears are 5-1 SU following a bye since 2010 – the only loss coming last year against divisional rivals Green Bay Packers, which was an unmemorable 55-14 loss. Hey, it’s the Packers and they were at Lambeau. Nuff said.

Bears have shown some spunk behind the improved play of Jay Cutler in the last few weeks – they are 2-1 SU ahead of the bye week, but easily could have been 3-0 SU had they not fritted away the opportunity in overtime to heap more misery on the Lions in week 6.

As far as the Vikings are concerned, playing on the road in back-to-back weeks comes with many challenges, not to mention disrupting routines and travel. There’s also the fact to consider the Vikings are 3-8 SU on the road since 2014 and coming off their first road win in the last six outings, going back midway last season. Teddy Bridgewater did have a much better game last weekend, better than he’s had all season long. Then again, it was against the 1-6 SU Lions. So take from it what you will.

As it is, the Vikings are the favorites on the road across most sports betting platforms. They opened on 2.5-points but have come down since to a low of 1-point road chalk. NFL bettors can still find 1.5-point lines trading at Bovada and Westgate and we’re recommending an NFL pick on the Bears as the home underdogs here.

NFL Picks: Bears ML -105 & +1 at Bet365

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Broncos Over Packers
There is no doubt that this is the match of the week on paper. It doesn’t get better than this: Two legendary quarterbacks in their own right already, way before reaching retirement age. Two stalwart teams that are household names and established heavyweights in the game with massive fan bases that go beyond the boundaries of their respective States… we could wax lyrical all day about either of these teams, quarterbacks or fan bases… but you get the gist.

What all this adds up to is value on both sides of the coin with each side having a very strong chance to win this highly anticipated game. In an interesting twist, however, it’s the Broncos that emerge as the home underdogs. You’d have to go back several years to find the Broncos tipped as the home underdogs on the NFL odds board. It’s just not something that occurs very often, given their irreproachable home form since the Peyton Manning era got underway. So you can imagine just how tempting it is for us (and most NFL bettors) to want to cash in on this unique opportunity.

This doesn’t mean Packers don’t deserve to be the favorites. On the contrary, they’ve earned it because on balance of quarterback performance right now Aaron Rodgers edges Peyton Manning significantly. However, that’s neither here nor there. Who’s to say Peyton Manning doesn’t light up in this game or, at the very least, do enough to help the Broncos win the game as he’s done throughout the 2015 season thus far. Then there is the Broncos defense, which has been leading the charge and winning games. They don’t appear to be getting enough respect in this matchup.

Whichever way you slice this game there is undoubtedly value to be had. We’ve been high on both these teams throughout the season and picking them without hesitation to continue their strong form. Now, in the face of a choice between the two, we’re leaning towards the home dog Broncos. Their home record is one of the best in the league while the Packers (as any initiated NFL bettor will tell you) don’t play as well as they do at Lambeau.

NFL Picks: Broncos ML +128 & +3 (-115) at Heritage

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