NFL Picks - Total Parlay Bets For Sunday September 11

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, September 11, 2016 3:29 AM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 11, 2016 3:29 AM UTC

This time of year, you generally don't have to worry about weather affecting totals in the NFL and it appears that neither rain nor wind will be a factor in any Week 1 game. Here are three totals I would parlay on the NFL odds.

Cleveland Browns vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Toilet Bowl of Week 1? These two teams might combine for six wins this season -- but that works out well for the Browns as they hold Philadelphia's first-round pick in 2017 thanks to trading away the No. 2 overall pick in this year's draft. Of course, the Eagles used that pick to take North  Dakota State quarterback Carson Wentz, and he will start here following the trade of Sam Bradford. This even though Wentz played in just part of the first preseason game because he fractured a rib in it. Meanwhile, Browns QB Robert Griffin III takes his first regular-season snap since 2014 after serving as the third-string QB in Washington last season. I can't decide if this is one of the worst Week 1 games ever or must-see TV. I can't imagine either offense does much. Both teams' running back situations are blah and these might be the two worst receiving groups in the NFL right now; remember, Josh Gordon is  suspended the first four games for Cleveland. The Browns' No. 1 pick in this year's draft (No. 15 overall after trading down again from Philly's No. 8 spot), Corey Coleman, dealt with an injury in training camp and ended his preseason catching one pass for 10 yards. Cleveland's other starting receiver is Terrelle Pryor, who flunked out of the NFL as a quarterback. The Eagles acquired former Titans second-round pick WR Dorial Green-Beckham last month but are bringing him along slowly as he's learning the offense. There's simply not going to be much offensive talent on the field here.

NFL Pick: Under
Best Line Offered:  at 5Dimes where you can get a 50% Free Play!

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Detroit Lions vs. Indianapolis Colts
Matchup of dome teams as well as former No. 1 overall picks in Detroit's Matthew Stafford and Indianapolis' Andrew Luck. The Colts weren't a very good defensive team last year and don't figure to be much better. To make matters worse, three Colts starters in the secondary are out for this game: cornerbacks Vontae Davis (a Pro Bowler) and Darius Butler as well as safety Clayton Geathers. Patrick Robinson’s 16 preseason snaps are the only ones a healthy cornerback had in Indianapolis this year. The  team signed veteran cornerback Antonio Cromartie off the street late in camp and he's going to have to start even though didn't take part in NFL offseason program,  training camp or the preseason. The Lions struggled big time to run the ball last season so they are going to throw it plenty. They will have No. 1 tight end Eric Ebron after he missed all of the preseason with a mysterious ankle injury. Ebron figures to take a bigger role this season with the retirement of Calvin Johnson. It's also the debut of Marvin Jones, the guy the Lions signed to be the No. 2 receiver to new No. 1 Golden Tate. Jones, the former Bengal, looked good in the preseason. The Lions also added veteran WR Anquan Boldin at the position. That Colts secondary could be in for a long day. The Colts can't run the ball, either, so Luck also will be throwing all day. You could see 90 combined passing attempts.

NFL Pick: Over
Best Line Offered:  at Heritage where you can get a 50% Cash Sign Up Bonus!

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Tennessee Titans
This is the lowest total on the board; it had been 42.5 before Minnesota starting quarterback Teddy Bridgewater went down with a season-ending injury in the final practice before the Vikings' last preseason game. If I'm an NFL or NCAA coach and I have two quarterback capable of starting, I wouldn't release it publicly to give the opposition an opportunity to focus on one more than the other. It's obviously a bit different in the NFL because there's tape on everyone and it's not like pro teams run the option. My point being that Vikings coach Mike Zimmer hasn't announced whether Bridgewater's backup, journeyman Shaun Hill, who is 16-18 as a starter in his career, or newly-acquired Sam Bradford will start. And Zimmer says he's not saying so until the Vikings take the field. The early reports I have read are that it probably will be Hill because Bradford isn't quite comfortable yet making changes at the line since the playbook is so new to him. He has been splitting first-team reps with Hill. Regardless, this game should feature more running than any other in Week 1. The Vikings will ride Adrian Peterson and the Titans their duo of DeMarco Murray and 2015 Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry. This will be about ball control and defense. That should keep the score down.

NFL Pick: Under
Best Line Offered:  at Pinnacle Sports

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