NFL Picks: Top Value Plays Still on the Week 5 Odds Board

Joe Catalano

Sunday, October 11, 2015 2:22 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 11, 2015 2:22 PM UTC

It's Week 5 and there are some breakout teams that look better than expected & some disappointments who we expected more from. Here are our value NFL picks that will provide you with a tidy profit.

New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys: Injury-Plagued
After a 2-0 start, Jerry Jones has made it clear that he's not content with the play of Brandon Weeden. While Weeden is a serviceable quarterback, he's just not a starter. That said, Weeden wasn't the reason why the Cowboys lost to the Saints. The Saints were 0-3 and desperate for a win and Drew Brees simply delivered. The Cowboys lose yet another player in Lance Dunbar. Dunbar was a running back that led the team in receiving. Joseph Randle and Terrence Williams just aren't the answer.

Now, the Cowboys have to play an angry Tom Brady and the undefeated New England Patriots coming off of the bye week. Brady, at 38, looks better than ever. I'm wondering who's going to stop Rob Gronkowski? The Pats will have no trouble with the injury-plagued Cowboys.
NFL Pick: New England Patriots -8 (-103) at Pinnacle


San Francisco Giants at New York Giants: No More Kaepernicking?
When you hear about the San Francisco 49'ers, you don't hear about Jim Harbaugh going to the University of Michigan, you don't hear about Frank Gore leaving for Indianapolis, you don'y even hear about Michael Crabtree going to the Raiders.You hear that Colin Kaepernick has simply lost the ability to be quarterback.

This is a player that's 3 years removed from a loss in the Super Bowl. He has talent in the backfield that's even younger than Gore in Carlos Hyde, but it hasn't translated into victories.

This is a Sunday Night Game at Met Life Stadium in front of a national audience on television and all of San Francisco's weaknesses could be exposed as the Giants have won their last 2 games and there's some guys on this team that have won 2 Super Bowls.

Look for Eli Manning to have an easy time threading the needle to Reuben Randle. He's purposely gotten Randle involved in the offense and Randle has responded. Let's not forget the player with the most talent in the NFL in Odell Beckham Jr. Beckham Jr. has been quiet as of late, but this is a player with the best hands in the NFL and the opposition has to commit pass interference to simply stop him. I expect ODB and Randle along with Eli Manning to expose all of the 49'ers weaknesses in a blowout.
NFL Pick:  New York Giants -7 (-115) at 5Dimes (a laughable number, the Giants win by double-digits)


Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions: 0-4? 
Really, the Lions should be 1-3, but got robbed as Kam Chancellor knocked the ball out of Megatron's hand at the 1/2 yard line and a Seahawk player batted the football out of the endzone.

The rules are that this is illegal. Seattle got the call and the Detroit Lions are 0-4. What I did notice about the Lions is that they held Russell Wilson in check. They have a really good defense. This is a great spot for them to upset Carson Palmer and the seemingly unstoppable Arizona Cardinals. The combination of Palmer to Fitzgerald has looked good, but look for Stafford to Johnson to be even better.
NFL Pick: Detroit Lions +4 (-105) at Bovada

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