NFL Picks: Top Dogs That are Begging for Attention Week 12

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, November 24, 2015 8:03 PM GMT

You know what makes Thanksgiving arguably the best holiday, NFL football. On this day we can eat, drink & watch football all day and also partake in placing NFL Picks at the books if we so choose.

I am not suggesting any of the other holidays are not good, quite the contrary, but for those reading this, you completely understand what I am saying. When the pigskin is involved along with NFL odds in which you can make sports picks, plus eating till you have to loosen your belt plus include some adult beverages, life is pretty good.

Top the topic of pretty good, after 2-0-1 week, for this article and video, this football handicapper is now up to 22-10-1 ATS on the year, 68.7 percent. The present odds are courtesy of SBR's live NFL odds board.

 

False Favorite - Nothing Clean About Dirty Birds
The Atlanta Falcons are fading away like the pumpkin and pecan pies on Thanksgiving night. Having lost four of five and on 0-6 ATS death spin, a survival kit might be the only thing to save the Falcons at this point. If the Falcons has a better choice than Matt Ryan, they might use him since Ryan been a huge part of their failures with 10 interceptions and six fumbles. Minnesota showed they are not quite ready for the big time in home loss to Green Bay, but they have the defense to bother Ryan, who might have throw, throw, throw with RB Devonta Freeman expected to out. With the Dirty Birds at -2, they are 3-11 ATS as a favorite the last two seasons.

NFL Pick: Vikings +2 (-110) at Bookmaker

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Top Dog - Washington Looks Good at Home
Washington quarterback Kirk Cousins Jekyll and Hyde season continued last week in Carolina, where the Redskins were crushed by Carolina. That left Washington 0-5 SU on the road and a good chunk of the reason why is Cousins has five touchdowns and eight interceptions in away games. But bring the former Michigan State ball-chucker back to FedEx Field and he delivers on time with far better results, with 10 TD's and just two picks. I'm not about to argue the Redskins are suddenly a good team, but a victory does take them to a first place tie in the horrific NFC East and they are 3-0 SU this season at home off a road loss and I'll use them for NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Redskins +3 (-120) at Bovada

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False Favorite - Seattle Vulnerable Even at Home
With Pittsburgh and Seattle total hovering at 44 to 45, let's examine the Seahawks. This season when the total has closed at 43 or higher, Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS and has lost three times. The reason the sportsbooks total is in this range is the potential of the Steelers offense, led by Ben Roethlisberger. With tremendous speed and wide receivers with very good hands, Pittsburgh can really spread Seattle's defense out. The Seahawks have conceded 27 or more points five times, so this tells me Big Ben has a chance for excellent success with a fresh club off a bye. Besides all the perimeter speed, what really could open up the Steelers offense is how poorly Peter Carroll's defense has guarded tight ends all season. With the Pittsburgh 13-3 ATS after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game, I will call for two-point game either way.

NFL Pick: Seahawks +4 (-110) at William Hill

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