NFL Picks: Titans vs. Vikings in Preseason Week 4

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, August 27, 2013 6:22 PM GMT

Tuesday, Aug. 27, 2013 6:22 PM GMT

The Titans and Vikings hook up from Minnesota in the preseason finale this Thursday. Let’s take a look at last week and see if it gives us a clue as to where the value is with this game.

The NFL odds favor the road Titans at -4.5, with a total of 39 points. While the spread is a bit questionable, I believe a play on the total has much more value in this game for your sports picks

Sports betting websites with the best prices on 2013-14 NFL Futures 

Week 3

The Titans and Mike Munchak got the win last week, and now the Titans are 5-0 SU in Weeks 3 and 4 of the preseason under Munchak. Although he likely won’t see playing time in this game, Jake Locker looked pretty good behind his new offensive line, as did Chris Johnson. For this Week 4 game, the reins will be passed to the backups of Ryan Fitzpatrick and Shon Greene to start this game, and even though the backups are in, these two were both NFL starters last season, and playing against 2nd and 3rd string defenses should be a walk in the park for this duo.

On the other side, the Vikings got blasted by the 49ers in their Week 3 matchup, which is something that I accurately predicted in my Week 3 NFL Picks. Christian Ponder was ok but not very good throwing 17/23 with 116 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. For the Vikings, Matt Cassel will take over in this game for the Vikings, who is yet another backup in this game that started just a season ago. With all of this experience in the game on offense for both teams, I think it’s safe to say that there could be some points scored in this game, and that’s one of the reasons why I’m backing the ‘Over’ in this game. 

Defense lacking

Neither one of these teams has looked great on defense so far this preseason, and that includes their second units. The Vikings have given up at least 20 - and on average 27- points per game this preseason, while the Titans aren’t much better at almost 22 points allowed per 2013 preseason game.

With the experience at backup quarterback for these teams, I would find it very surprising if these two didn’t put up points this week. Week 4’s totals are always dropped because of the backups coming in, but for most teams these are veterans who haven’t started in years, if at all, or young guys with very little NFL experience. These two teams have the luxury of having backup QBs with more starting experience than their actual starters, as well as two QBs who started on other teams just a year ago. Fitzpatrick has 68 career starts in the NFL while Cassel has 62 NFL starts. While Cassel didn’t play well against the very good Niners defense in Week 3, I see him bouncing back against the softer Titans.

[gameodds]16/226867/?r3=349/dec&r-1=349/us[/gameodds]

 The Sharp Pick

With the blatant lack of defense from both teams, along with the experience in the backup roles, this is one game in Week 4 where I could see plenty of scoring. There are others that might not get into the 20s combined, but this could be a game where the offense rules the defense. I’m taking the ‘Over’ and adding it to my NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Bet the Titans/Vikings game OVER 39 points at William Hill

Discuss the final week of Preseason NFL on our football message boards!

comment here