Our teasers were very successful last week, and with only a few weeks of the NFL regular season left, we have to look down every avenue for NFL Odds value. So I have three more teasers to add to your NFL Picks for Week 15.
Colts & Patriots
The Colts escaped with a win last week, but if they get off to the start they did last week against the Texans this week, they will not win the game. However I think last week was an Andrew Luck anomaly, and we should wee good Luck this week. Right now the Texans are +7 dogs against the Colts, and teasing Indy down to -1 looks like a great wager. As long as the Colts’ run defense can slow down the Texans’ running game, they should walk away with the win at home this week.
The Patriots are in a similar position in their NFL Odds, as they are -7 ½ favorites against the Dolphins this week. Teasing the Pats down to -1 ½ should be enough for them to cover this week, and even though the Dolphins defense is solid, I expect New England’s defense to be even better on Sunday.
NFL Pick: 2-team teaser: Colts -1 & Patriots -1 ½
Chargers & Seahawks
My first underdog play of the week goes to the Chargers, who are +4 home dogs against the Broncos this week. Crossing zero with the Broncos might be risky this week. They haven’t looked great on the offensive end of the ball recently, but even though I think that might cease against the Chargers, San Diego is good enough to stay with the Broncos. Teasing the Chargers to +10 is a much better way to go with this game.
The Seahawks are starting to look like they did last season, and that is not good news for any team in the NFC, let alone the 49ers, who are basically falling apart at the seams after their loss last week to the Raiders. The Hawks are -10 favorites, which is a larger spread than I’ve ever seen in this matchup, and teasing them down to -4 looks like one of the better bets of my teaser plays. The 49ers’ offense is going to get nothing going on the road in Seattle. While it may be a very low scoring game, (total of less than 40 points) -4 is a good value.
NFL Pick: 2-team teaser: Chargers +10 & Seahawks -4
Lions & Bears
While the Hawks may be a good value, my favorite teaser value of the week is the Lions, and teasing them down from -7 to -1 in the NFL Odds. It should be virtual robbery from the books against the Vikings this week. The Lions are at home, playing well, and their defense should hold Teddy Bridgewater and company to less than 15 points in this one. If they can accomplish that, they should have no problem covering their teaser odds.
On the other side of this one are the Bears, who finalize Week 15 with their Monday Night Football game against the Saints. Both teams have been the definition of disappointment this season, but one team has far more to lose. The Saints are still in the hunt for their division, but the Bears have long fallen out of the playoff race in the competitive NFC North. Teasing Chicago to +9 with nothing to lose and everything to prove if you’re Jay Cutler might be a good value. Despite losing Brandon Marshall for the rest of the year, the Bears should rip up the Saints’ defense, and on the road, can you really trust the Saints to be your NFL pick?
NFL Pick: 2-team teaser: Lions -1 & Bears +9