NFL Picks: Three Games Too Risky To Bet in Week 2

David Lawrence

Saturday, September 19, 2015 8:34 PM UTC

Saturday, Sep. 19, 2015 8:34 PM UTC

What are you going to do this weekend? You need to stay away from certain games with your NFL picks, and these three selections are the ones which highlight the list.

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings

NFL Odds: Vikings -2

This is a game in which the Vikings really do not deserve to be favored. They could not have played a worse game last Monday night against the San Francisco 49ers. Their offense looked atrocious, as quarterback Teddy Bridgewater barely had any time in which to throw and make himself comfortable in the pocket. The Lions did play very poorly at San Diego in week one, but they are way too talented to stay down for very long. They were also going up against Philip Rivers and not a less experienced quarterback who isn’t yet as adept at handling pressure when it comes. The Lions should be able to contain Minnesota’s offense, and that should translate into an outright victory… yet, these are the Lions, and they’ve been known to stumble so many times over the years, which is why this game feels like one that’s too hot to handle. Minnesota could benefit from playing this game at home.  

NFL Pick: Lions +3 -135 at Bovada

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Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles

NFL Odds: Eagles -5

The reason why this is such a “don’t touch” betting situation is that in the last 33 games between these teams, the underdog is 25-8 against the spread. It’s been a paradise for surprising results, as shown by the fact that the road team in this series won both meetings last year. What’s also complicated is that you don’t really know which version of Sam Bradford will show up – the first-half version from last week against the Falcons, or the second-half version? Beyond all that, Dallas lacks Dez Bryant, who is out with an injury, but Philadelphia lost a winnable game last week against Atlanta, perhaps showing that it’s just not as good as in previous years under Chip Kelly. This game feels very volatile. Dallas will probably cover, but can you be comfortable in saying so? Probably not.  

NFL Pick: Cowboys +5 at The Greek

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers

NFL Odds: Packers -3.5

The Seahawks are the defending champions and they know how to play Green Bay and defend Aaron Rodgers. In six meetings, they’ve held him to an average of 207 passing yards per game. However, they don’t have Kam Chancellor, who is holding out, they don’t have an offensive line which is playing well right now and they are 0-1. Are you going to get the good Seahawks or the bad Seahawks? You probably have an answer but you also probably can’t say for sure which one you’re going to get. The Packers have not scored big numbers of points against Seattle in recent years, but with Seattle’s offense struggling, they might not need to score a ton. The assumption is it’s a revenge game for the Packers and they’re going to be focused but they don’t have a good history against Seattle. This game could go in so many different directions for your NFL picks – it could be a blowout either way or a close game. 

NFL Pick: Packers -3 -125 at bet365

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