I see plenty of preseason value to be had, so follow along with these three NFL Picks.
With the new regime in Cleveland this season, you can bet that they are going to want to start off the season right. With Jeff Fisher and the Rams, I could see St. Louis easing into the preseason, and not unleashing their offense or defense too much in this first game. The Browns have a lot of things to work out before the season, such as their WR and back up running back rotations, so I think they might even play this game a bit tougher than normal.
The Browns also have a couple of solid NFL quarterbacks behind Weeden, and Norv Turner will want to put the ball in the air as much as possible to test out his new offense. With Jason Campbell and Brian Hoyer right after Weeden in this game, I could see the Browns not letting up against the 2nd and 3rd stringers from the Rams. Even though it is a lot, lay the points with the Browns here. In front of their home fans, and with a new HC and OC, I see them going after the win more than Jeff Fisher, who during his career is only 8-7 SU in Week 1 of the preseason.
My Pick: Browns -4
With Robert Griffin III not playing at all in the preseason, the reigns will fall to Kurt Cousins for the Skins in this game. After him isn’t much for the Redskins, but Mike Shanahan seems to always win in the preseason, going 50-30 SU and 44-34-2 ATS in his career during the exhibition games.
However in the first week, even though his record in this spot is good, I have to go with the home team whose coach’s seat is probably getting warm. Mike Munchak has been in Tennessee two years now and hasn’t done much since Fisher left. He is however 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS in the preseason, and he might need to come out with a win in this game.
On top of his job being in jeopardy, the Titans are just deeper than the Skins in this game. In the backup roles for Tennessee will be QB Ryan Fitzpatrick and RB Shon Greene, two guys who were starters just last season. Don’t you think these guys will want to show out even if it’s just a preseason game? I’m taking the more desperate team and coach in this one.
My Pick: Titans -2 ½
The Hawks are already dealing with a ton of injuries on the offensive side of the football, and with all of that happening this offseason, I doubt Pete Carroll goes out of his way to win this game. He will pull his starters very quickly in this game, and after a few series, I see the 2nd and 3rd stringers coming in.
On the flip side, Mike McCoy is in his first year as head coach and will want to get his starters a little bit of time in this game to learn the offense. Even though we don’t have any idea on what McCoy’s thoughts are heading into this game, I think he will try to win it. He did just suffer a torn ACL on his best receiver Danario Alexander, but he does have the advantage of being a home underdog. Home underdogs are 52-31-3 ATS in the preseason since 2005.
My Pick: Chargers +3 (buying half point -120)[gameodds]16/227783/?r3=43-999997-349/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]