NFL Picks: Tennessee Titans Win Totals & Game-by-Game Predictions

Nikki Adams

Thursday, June 25, 2015 11:53 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 25, 2015 11:53 PM GMT

The Tennessee Titans look to improve on a abysmal 2-14 SU season, but by how much can they reasonably improve? Join us as we analyze their 2015 NFL schedule and serve up our game-by-game predictions and season win total picks.

Expectation Low For Titans in 2015
The Tennessee Titans were one of the worst NFL offerings in 2014, finishing with a lowly 2-14 SU mark and in the basement of every relevant NFL stat. Predictably, expectations in 2015 are low with NFL odds makers rolling out a 5.5 season win total line

Curiously, the OVER is slightly favored at -125 while the UNDER is trading at -105. It's early days yet and this NFL betting outlook could easily change. Particularly when taking into consideration the strength of their NFL schedule. Last year, they had the second easiest NFL schedule. Yet, they were unable to collect more than two wins on the season (they went 2-14 SU overall, which included a 1-7 SU mark at home and away. They went 1-5 SU in their division and 2-10 SU in the conference).

Last year, odds makers rolled out an ambitious 7.5 season win total projection for the Titans, working off of their 7-9 SU record in 2013. For our part, we predicted the Titans would take a step back in 2014 and recommended NFL bettors look towards the UNDER 7.5 which was trading at a whopping -160 NFL odds. 

 

Titans To Take Baby Step Forward in 2015
In 2015, the Titans have the 26th toughest NFL schedule (or sixth easiest NFL schedule) which boasts an 0.435 winning percentage. On paper, it's negotiable. 

However, it's worth noting that despite the schedule's favorable ranking on the strength chart, there's very little difference between this year and last year in terms of winning percentage. Last year, their 31st ranked NFL schedule boasted a 0.438 winning percentage and they only managed two wins.

That said their defense has seen some improvement, they've drafted a scintillating prospect in Marcus Mariota, who exceeded expectations in minicamp, and they've acquired a few notable free agents. Whether all this adds up to a season that will see the Titans crack the 5.5 win-mark remains to be seen.

For our money, we prefer to be conservative with our projections. If we take their season win total average over the last five years it's 6 wins. If we look at just the last two seasons, though, they've mustered up just 9 wins combined, which yields an average of 4.5 wins. Plus one has to consider they are contained within the same group as the Colts, one of the Super Bowl favorites this season and the rising Houston Texans. These two sides represent four out of 16 games that are going to be tough to win by the Titans. That leaves 12 games on the season which the Titans are going to have to win 50% of in order to satisfy the 5.5 season win total odds makers serve up on the NFL odds board. Think you that the Titans can go .500 in 12 games?

We don't. This is a fledgling side, more likely to take baby steps than one giant leap forward.

So here goes....the game-by-game predictions, rounded out by our 2015 season win total NFL picks.

 

Week 1: vs. Tampa Bay (road), Sunday, Sept 13 at 4:25 PM
Once the NFL draft was put to bed, this matchup all of a sudden became a must-see clash. Will Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota start this week 1 NFL betting extravaganza, beginning a rookie rivalry that is sure to yield comparisons, not to mention thrills. It's too early to say, but if it does it could be a good matchup. It's a winnable game for both teams, making it a tossup. That said Mettenberger could still get the start and having seen into the NFL already last season and with competition for the starting role brewing with Mariota, he might have something to prove here in order to gain his first NFL win. 

NFL Picks: Win
Record 1-0

 

Week 2: vs. Cleveland (road), Sunday, Sept 20 at 1 PM
For a second straight week, the Titans are on the road. If Mariota is at the helm of the offensive charge, it could be a tricky prospect. Cleveland is coming off a positive season, largely down to Brian Hoyer's efforts. He's gone though now, leaving Josh McCown and Johnny Football Manziel to duke out the starting role. Cleveland won this game in Nashville last year 29-28. The Titans put up a good fight on the road, but fall to a narrow defeat.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-1

 

Week 3: vs. Indianapolis (home), Sunday,  Sept 27 at 1 PM
Andrew Luck has built a reputation for beating up on lightweights in the league, namely within his division. He's not going to lose this game. Last year he led the Indianapolis Colts to a 68-27 win combined over the Titans in a series sweep.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-2

 

Week 4: BYE Week

 

Week 5: vs. Buffalo (home), Sunday, Oct 11 at 1 PM
This is going to be a tough ask for the Titans. Sure, they have a bye week to prepare for the Bills and their quarterback situation is a touch dicey. But Rex Ryan's defensive mind and the Bills' strong defense are sure to give the Titans fits in Nashville.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-3

 

Week 6: vs. Miami (home), Sunday, Oct 18 at 1 PM
The Miami Dolphins descend on the Titans in week 6 NFL betting. Ryan Tannehill showed some spurts of brilliance in 2014, as well as some questionable accounts. Nevertheless, the Dolphins should take a step forward under an improved defense. And given the gap in quality and accounts between these two sides in 2014, the Dolphins will look upon this game as one that is theirs to win or lose.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-4

 

Week 7: vs. Atlanta (home), Sunday, Oct 25 at 1 PM
Matt Ryan and Julio Jones are sure to give the Titans defense a run for its money. That said, the Atlanta Falcons have been underwhelming these past few seasons, so it remains to be seen how well they play this year. They still have major questions on defense, running back and tight end. It could be one of those games that goes against the grain and leaves NFL bettors scratching their heads.  

NFL Picks: Win
Record 2-4

 

Week 8: vs. Houston (road), Sunday, Nov 1 at 1 PM
The Tennessee Titans descend on the Houston Texans in week 8 NFL betting for what should be a tough matchup. What's more, they could be reunited with Brian Hoyer, the orchestrator of the Browns' thrilling win in Nashville. J.J. Watt and the defense should ride roughshod over the Titans in a convincing win.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-5

 

Week 9: vs. New Orleans (road), Sunday, Nov 8 at 1 PM
The New Orleans Saints have no business being a subpar, under .500 side, yet for the last couple of terms they've been exactly that. Nevertheless, Drew Brees and Company can't lose to the fledgling Titans, surely.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-6

 

Week 10: vs. Carolina (home), Sunday, Nov 15 at 1 PM
Although the Carolina Panthers snuck into the playoffs behind a subpar .469 finish on the season, they still managed to reel off four straight wins to clinch the NFC South title and then defeated the impressive Arizona Cardinals in the playoffs before falling to the Seahawks. By this point in the season, with the Titans looking to be out of the playoff picture, the Titans will have little to play for save pride. If Mariota hasn't been the starter up to this point, he might be getting that role by now. In any event, one has to give Cam Newton the edge.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-7

 

Week 11: vs. Jacksonville (road), Thursday, Nov 19 at 8:25 PM
Last season, the awful Titans beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 16-14 at home. This season, the Jaguars figure to be an improved side and with Blake Bortles entering his second year he'll have last season's experience to draw from. Titans will be hard pressed to take the win in Jacksonville.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-8

 

Week 12: vs. Oakland (home), Sunday, Nov 29 at 1 PM
Just like the Titans, the Oakland Raiders are in rebuild mode. Unlike the Titans that are stocking up on young talent, the Raiders seem to be picking up players that are fast approaching their sell-by-date. Based on last season's accounts, the playing field looks to be level between these two teams. Home edge tips the scale towards the Titans.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 3-8

 

Week 13: vs. Jacksonville (home), Sunday, Dec 6 at 1 PM
The reverse with the Jacksonville Jaguars comes just two weeks after their Primetime date on Thursday in week 11 NFL betting. The Titans take a page from their road loss and split the series.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 4-8

 

Week 14: vs. NY Jets (road), Sunday, Dec 13 at 1 PM
The New York Jets have a good enough defense and they have some delectable weapons on offense. But they still have Geno Smith by all accounts and it remains to be seen whether he figures out how to maximise the potential at his disposal. This could be one of those games that goes against the grain in NFL betting markets.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 5-8

 

Week 15: vs. New England (road), Sunday, Dec 20 at 1 PM
The defending Super Bowl Champions? At Gillette Stadium? Next. Might as well just ship the "W" to the New England Patriotsdon't you think?

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 5-9

 

Week 16: vs. Houston (home), Sunday, Dec 27 at 1 PM
The Houston Texans and Brian Hoyer descend on Nashville in week 16 NFL betting. Titans get a second shot at their divisional rivals, but the Texans prove to be overwhelming. Titans succumb to a loss as J.J. Watt leaves Marcus Mariota reeling.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 5-10

 

Week 17: vs. Indianapolis (road), Sunday, Jan 3 at 1 PM
Andrew Luck and the Colts look to close the season on a high note at Lucas Oil Stadium. With division minnows Titans coming to town, the Colts are an almost luck NFL pick to win outright. Luck shows Mariota what it takes to be an elite quarterback in the NFL.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 5-11

 

NFL Betting Verdict: By our conservative estimations we have the Titans improving on their 2-14 season, but not by a whole lot. Worst case scenario they repeat a 2-14 SU season; best case they go 5-11 SU, which is somewhat generous in our opinion. In any event, we don't see the Titans cracking the 5.5 win totals projected on the NFL odds board and, as such, we're recommending the UNDER 5.5 at -105 NFL odds for your season win total picks.  

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