Which teams are we backing with our NFL picks to find success and which teams are we staying away from? Let's run over some team totals and see what edge we can find.
Week 2 brings with it a number of good spots for us to try and take advantage of recency bias. The general public will look at Week 1's result and overreact to what they saw, which leaves weak spots in the NFL odds for us to take advantage of. Below are the team total plays that we like most for our NFL picks this weekend.
Tennessee Titans UNDER 21
The Titans were one of the biggest surprises in Week 1, just like they were last season. They opened 2014 with a huge road win over Kansas City, only to go on a disappoint the rest of the season. Will we see a repeat of that in 2015?
Maybe not to the same degree, but we do think oddsmakers may overreact to Tennessee's outstanding 42-14 road win over Tampa Bay last Sunday. Marcus Mariota completely outplayed Jameis Winston and the Titans offense looked as good as it has for years, something they'll be hoping to replicate this week in Cleveland. The Buccaneers had no answers for Mariota, who was sharp throughout and really had no trouble dissecting the Bucs defense.
We're having a hard time seeing Tennessee scoring more than three touchdowns against the Browns, who do have quite a bit of talent on the defensive side of the ball. This game seems like it'll be low-scoring through and through, which makes us believe the Titans will fall below their posted team total for Week 2.
New York Giants OVER 26.5
It's going to be interesting to see how the Giants respond after a gut-wrenching loss to the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football in Week 1. New York looked like a lock to win, but two touchdowns from Tony Romo in the final six minutes resulted in a 27-26 victory for the home team. The Giants, namely Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning, were criticized for how they managed the clock down the stretch, and rightfully so.
It certainly wasn't the most impressive night at the offense for Manning and company regardless, as the quarterback failed to find the end zone and finished with a QB rating of just 45.4. Rashad Jennings ran 13 times for 52 yards and a touchdown, while no wideout, including breakout start Odell Beckham Jr., failed to record more than 46 yards receiving.
We're foreseeing better efficiency out of New York's offense against Atlanta. The Falcons are not a team to fear defensively, and the Giants should be able to find success in the passing game. This should be a great bounce-back spot for Manning/Beckham Jr. duo, and we think they'll be able to score at least 26 points here at home against the vulnerable Falcons.
Oakland Raiders OVER 18.5
This is certainly the riskiest option of the three, but we're higher on the Raiders offense than most and think they'll be able to surprise people, regardless of that dud they laid out there in Week 1.
The Ravens defense is one that we've typically liked to avoid in recent seasons, but this is not the same unit. Terrell Suggs has already been lost for the season and that's a huge blow to Baltimore, to lose their best pass rusher and a disruptive force all over the field.
What's more, it looks like Derek Carr will be able to go this weekend after getting knocked out of last week's game early. He's a much better talent than backup Matt McGloin, and we can't forget about stud rookie wideout Amari Cooper and Latavius Murray either.
It's never an easy feeling backing the Raiders offense in any instance, but we do think they'll be able to score more than 19 points, with Carr, Murray and Cooper leading the way.