NFL Picks: Take Falcons to Cover ATS Against Beat Up Cowboys in Week 3

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 22, 2015 9:45 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 22, 2015 9:45 PM UTC

Both Dallas and Atlanta are 2-0 ahead of Week 3, meaning one of these teams will be suffering its first defeat of the season. Let's examine the NFL odds and see where the edge is.

Odds Overview
Even though the Cowboys are banged up offensively, they're still being given a solid chance of competing against the Falcons in Week 3. The line varies depending on the sportsbook you check on, with the range starting at a pick'em and going up two points, with Atlanta the favorite in those instances.

The game's total is currently trading at an even 45 points on the NFL odds board, but there's plenty of time for those lines to shift throughout the week. Keep checking back with in order to get the best possible number you can and maximize the value you're getting out of your picks.


Dallas Cowboys
Who would have thought that the Cowboys' defense would be what has carried them to a 2-0 start? They held what's expected to be one of the most prolific offenses in the Eagles to just 10 points, and it was on the road no less. It was a very impressive showing from Dallas, who kept fighting despite losing Tony Romo to injury in the middle of the game.

Romo is expected to miss quite a while, and don't forget Dez Bryant has already been ruled out for at least a couple of months too. A once dangerous offenses will now be relying on backups heading into Week 3.

Having already beaten the odds bestowed upon them last week, however, we can't completely write off Dallas, even with those two hugely impactful injuries. Brandon Weeden will start at quarterback for the Cowboys while the likes of Joseph Randle, Terrance Williams, and Cole Beasley will all take on more responsibility in the offense too.


Atlanta Falcons
It hasn't been easy, but the Falcons have done what they needed to do on their way to wins in their first two matchups of the season. They topped Philadelphia by two points in Week 1 and then staged a great comeback in a 24-20 road win over the Giants this past Sunday.

In what's become a common theme whenever he's healthy, Julio Jones dominated against New York, following up a 141-yard effort by hauling in 13 receptions for 135 yards and a touchdown. Once again the Giants let a late lead slip away, as the Falcons outscored the home team 14-0 in the fourth quarter to win by four and move to 2-0 on the season.

We should be seeing another highly competitive game when Atlanta travels to Dallas to take on the beat up Cowboys, but so far so good for the Falcons, both offensively and defensively. There's still work to be done, but with Matt Ryan leading a very talented offense, this is a team that's going to find success offensively more often than not.


NFL Pick
Home-field advantage should always be considered as a factor, and we've been mighty impressed with the defensive efforts that the Cowboys have put up, but we simply think the odds are too stacked against them here in Week 3.

At this point last season, Dallas was rolling out Romo, DeMarco Murray and Bryant as the headliners at each skill position. Heading into Sunday, the Cowboys will be going with Weeden, Randle, and Wiliams as the number one healthy options at each respective position. That's a huge difference and something we can't overlook.

Meanwhile, the Falcons have pulled off two gritty wins in a row over stiff competition and will be full of confidence. At these more than reasonable odds, we're going to have to add Atlanta to our collection of NFL picks for the weekend. You may want to jump on the lines early before they possibly move.

NFLPick: Falcons PK -120  at 5Dimes

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