Swinger's Record (15-15, -12.00 units) *Each wager is graded from 1 to 5 units*
We went 1-2 ATS last week and it was courtesy of me refusing to let go of the belief that the Atlanta freakin' Hawks owe me my money back.I continue to delude myself that the Falcons will soar - eventually - but the due factor is only mitigated by the suck factor and that's exactly what Atlanta has going on this year.
Next, I mistakenly believed that Cam Newton and the Panthers were not going to be ready for primetime at The Stick but lordy was I wrong about that one.Defensively, the Panthers are clicking on all cylinders and they not only covered as 5 ½ point road dogs but eked out a straight up victory over the Niners.
Our only winning play of the three came in the form of the lowly Jacksonville Jags who finally figured out a way to win and did so in stunning fashion as they won their first game of the season by defeating the Titans on the road as 14 point pups in NFL odds.We thought they'd hang around against an overvalued Tennessee squad but I won't pretend I predicted a victory.
So that's it boys and girls.We're .500 on the season but struggling to get out of the red and into the black. Let's take another bite at the apple on Sunday and get over the hump!
I almost hate to get involved with this game because the Falcons are playing in it and I have gotten torched betting them this season.But I'm not backing a side here, I am advising a play on the total.That's right, we have a Bucs team coming off a huge win over the Dolphins on a short week and a Falcons team that has nobody to catch Matt Ryan's passes.
Steven Jackson is averaging about 2.2 yards per carry since he returned from injury and is clearly not the explosive player he once was while Tony Gonzalez is hobbling around with an injured toe.Gonzalez missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday so if you unfailingly believe he'll suit up then you might want to think again.Even if he does, he'll be far from 100% and Ryan will have no options against a fairly stout Tampa Bay defense. Conversely, Atlanta will be getting back the talented Sean Weatherspoon at linebacker which should have an immediate impact on their defense.
Want one more tidbit?There's a 30% chance of thunderstorms in Tampa on Sunday afternoon and even a heavy dose of rain would dampen both offenses (see what I did there?).
Nick Foles is proving that he can throw with the best of them and that point will be driven home against one of the most porous secondaries in the league when he looks early and often against the Washington Redskins.If Foles' arm gets tired then the Eagles can turn to the running game where Washington also fails miserably defending the rush (ranked 24th).In short, the Eagles should be able to light up the scoreboard on this woeful Redskins D.
The flipside to this equation is that RG3 and the Washington offense should be getting their groove on against Philly's invisible defense, ranking 31st in passing yards surrendered (306.5).In addition, the Eagles don't apply much pressure from their defensive front, earning only 11 sacks over their last seven games which is worse than any team in the league except for the Jaguars.
In short boys, it's going to be plenty of matador defense and a resume builder for the quarterbacks in this one.
Play Over 52 ½ for 2 units at Bet365.com.
Call me Chalky Von Chalkawitz but I am all-in with the Seahawks as they play host to the dreadful Minnesota Vikings.The Hawks are invincible at home, winning twelve straight since last season and now have Percy Harvin at their disposal.
The Vikings will turn to an ailing Christian Ponder who isn't all that great when he's 100% and if he decides to sit then backups Freeman or Cassel will do the honors.I realize AP is always a threat to cut loose but this team is simply too one dimensional and by the way, don't think Mr. Harvin won't want to show his old team what they're missing.
The Woodman's Corner (6-4, +1.6 units) - Guest Handicapper
If you're an avowed chalk player (and which one of us would truly admit that?!) then you have to swallow hard to blindly follow the Woodman as he is hardwired for playing underdogs.But the results have been brilliant recently after a slow start. Senor Wood has picked 5 out his last 6 games correctly and is coming back in Week 11 with another puppy in his NFL picks. Green Bay + 4 ½ at WilliamHill.com is the play.