Swinger's Record (11-13, -16.30 units) *Each wager is graded from 1 to 5 units*
Let's get the good news right out of the way so we can dwell upon our misperceptions and mind numbing lapses in judgment. We cashed a three unit ticket with Over in the Cowboys/Lions tilt. Yipeeeee. It's what we're supposed to do around here and unless I go 3-0 like I did in Week 7 then it's just business as usual.
But let's get down to the heartbreaker, the momentum stealer and the death knell of our Week 8 NFL picks. The Atlanta freakin' Falcons and Matty Ice, he of the four interceptions, saw all their hopes and dreams (and mine) flushed away in the second quarter as the Arizona Cardinals found the endzone three times during that 15 minute span and crushed our five unit maximum play by the final tally of 27-13. That three point head start we got from the oddsmakers did nothing for us and we even added to our misery by playing the Dirty Birds on the money line for three units.
I have to shake my mind free of the fact that just because these guys wear Falcons uniforms doesn't mean they bear any resemblance to the Super Bowl contender they were last season. Let's peruse the NFL odds, shake off this funk and get back to winning - right now!
Chiefs vs. Bills - Total
The squares will lay it in on the undefeated Chiefs cruising the highway while the purported sharps will make an argument for the home underdog Buffalo Bills. But the fact of the matter is that the Bills are all banged up and the Chiefs offense is not exactly what one might deem explosive.
Sure the Bills have kept their games close all year and have consistently scored in the 20's but last week they squared off against a much improved Saints defense and tallied only 17. But this week they will face an even sterner test in the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs. KC has a dynamite defense and a rather pedestrian offense. Put all these ingredients into a mixing bowl and from it comes a remarkable recipe for a low scoring affair.
Play Under 40 for 3 units at Bet365.com as one of our NFL picks.
Chargers vs. Redskins - Total
The Bolts have had two weeks to rest their bones after consecutive victories over the Colts and the Jags while the Redskins are done licking their wounds from last week's shootout in Mile High. There's a reason this is the highest total on the board in your NFL odds for Week 9 and it's because Phillip Rivers is back to being - well - Phillip Rivers while RG3 has finally found his legs and his offense.
Sit back, crack open a cold one and watch the crooked numbers light up the scoreboard in this one.
Play Over 50 for 2 units at Bet365.com in your NFL picks.
Titans are coming off a bye week while the Rams are starting a journeyman QB in Kellen Clemens, coming off a short week and a loss despite a ferocious game by their pass rushers. I like the Titans in this spot.
The Rams are toast in my opinion and the Titans will be eager to play a team not named the Chiefs, Seahawks and 49'ers (their last three opponents). What the hell did the Titans do last year to piss off the scheduling gods so much this year? Flare passes to Chris Johnson out of the backfield to relieve the pressure from the Rams relentless pass rush are inevitable and will allow the Titans to move the chains and ultimately score points.
This one looks like square biz all day long but call me a box of Apple Jacks 'cause I'm backing the travelin' chalk in this one.
The Woodman's Corner (4-4, -0.4 units) - Guest Handicapper
After drawing even on the year last week with yet another underdog, the Woodman is switching it up this week and backing a road favorite! Who is this imposter telling one and all to bet the farm on the Indianapolis Colts -2 over the Houston Texans in his NFL picks? I'm not sure but that's the official pick from the Woodman's Corner, Indy -2.