Sportsbooks aren’t all too thrilled about the Super Bowl matchup. That’s because the favorites usually take the most preseason action as far as Super Bowl futures go and the matchup in Super Bowl 48 is a meeting of two favorites. One way or another, it’s likely the books will be paying out much more than they would like for futures this season.
Here’s a look at how the futures odds changed throughout the season for both teams and an early look at a couple of props.
The Denver Broncos were the 2014 Super Bowl favorite after the 2014 NFL Draft, in the preseason and for the most part, they maintained their standing throughout the season. Their NFL odds moved around a little bit from 15/2 after the Draft to 6/1 in the preseason, but they were clearly the favorite in the AFC all season long and the Super Bowl favorite in most sportsbooks the entire way.
Nowadays, the Broncos are a -130 favorite to win Super Bowl 48 and that’s just on the moneyline. It goes to show the difference in payout for those who had faith: a number of smart bettors invested when they were +600 or +750 and can now either comfortably hedge or ride it out.
There are a number of interesting dynamics in play here such as the fact that the Broncos will have to brace the cold in New York. That’s more likely to affect how their offense operates as they rely on the passing game more so than the how the Seahawks operate, which is more reliant on the ground game. The bottom line is this is another classic matchup of offense versus defense and on February 2nd, we’ll see who comes through.
The Seattle Seahawks weren’t the odds-on NFC favorite at the beginning of the season but they quickly grew into that role. They were 9-1 after the draft and 17-2 in the preseason, but they were still second in line on the odds to the San Francisco 49ers. That didn’t last long, though. Only until Week 2, to be exact, because that’s when the Seahawks pummeled the 49ers 29-3 at home and moved into the NFC favorite role. From that point, the Seahawks carried the flag for the NFC all the way into the Super Bowl.
The Seahawks are now a small underdog in the Super Bowl (about +110) and are going to have to slay one more giant to win the Lombardi Trophy. The public will probably be all over Peyton Manning and the Broncos, foreseeing it as a quest of destiny. However, defense does win championships and the Seahawks definitely have the better unit. They might also get their secret weapon back just in time for the Super Bowl: Percy Harvin. He might be the x-factor that gives the Seahawks offense just the boost it needs to get over in this game.
Some of the early wacky props are already trickling in from sportsbooks but none are overly enticing. We’ve got the basics so far: who’ll win the coin toss, will the coin land heads or tails and will the team that wins the coin toss win the game.
As far as the proper in-game props, there are a number of intriguing lines. The Broncos team total is set at 25.5 while the Seahawks are at 23. Keep in mind that the Seahawks didn’t allow 26 points in a game all season long. In the race for the first team to score and the first team to 10 points, the Broncos are favored in both cases.
We also see some props on the first scoring play with ‘Denver Touchdown’ being favored, followed by ‘Seattle Touchdown’ and ‘Denver Field Goal’. Another interesting props is ‘Team to Score First Wins’ where ‘Yes’ is favored. The Seahawks climbed out of a 10-0 hole to win the NFC Championship Game, so they’re probably fine with playing and winning from behind.Make sure you continue to check-in with your sportsbook as you’ll find a slew of the entertaining props start pouring in throughout the week.