The #1 seed in the NFC also gets the nod from Bovada sportsbook as the Super Bowl favorite. The Seahawks won’t have it easy, however playing at home for them has almost been automatic over the last two years. Unless the Saints upset the Eagles in the wildcard game this weekend, then the Hawks would get the winner of 49ers and Packers, which is arguably a harder road.
Denver is Seattle’s counterpart in the AFC, and they are priced right behind them at +300. This is somewhat surprising considering the Hawks might have a tougher road to the Super Bowl. Denver will likely play the Colts or Chiefs, and they can beat either one on their home field. A tough rematch against the Pats could be the only thing in the way of Peyton Manning back in the Super Bowl.
San Francisco might have the best team comparable to their NFL Odds to win the Super Bowl, and even though they have to go on the road in the wildcard round, they play the Packers, a team they have dominated over the past couple of years. The 49ers are one of my Super Bowl favorites.
If New England hadn’t lost Rob Gronkowski for the season, their price to win the Super Bowl would be much more appetizing. However even though they attained a first round bye, I just can’t see it this season. They will likely play the Bengals in the 2nd round, and even if they don’t their 2nd road matchup will be the Colts or Chiefs, two more tough games.
The Panthers are another one of my favorites this playoff season, and at 10/1 to win the Super Bowl, they might be my favorite of favorites. They will likely have a 2nd round matchup with the Eagles, a very winnable game, and Carolina is one of the only teams in the NFC capable of going into Seattle and winning. The Panthers are my best bet.
Green Bay snuck into the playoffs, and now they have the 49ers awaiting them as their prize. The Niners have beat up the Packers in their most recent meetings, and a price of +1200 seems pretty overvalued, even though they play at home this week. However it’s a lot worse than the 28/1 they were priced at a week ago.
Cincinnati has a tough first round matchup against the #6 seeded Chargers, and even though this game is in Cincinnati, the Chargers are a tough matchup. Even if they win this week, a meeting with the Patriots looms the week after. I can’t endorse the Bengals.
Philadelphia is also priced in at +1600, and they play the Saints in the wildcard round. The Saints have been awful on the road this season, going 1-7 ATS. However there have been crazier playoff happenings than a big turnaround from a bad road team. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Eagles lose at home to Drew Brees.
Even though I think they could beat the Eagles on the road, that doesn’t mean their chances of doing the same to Seahawks in the divisional round are as good. At 22/1 their price isn’t bad and could have some value on this former Super Bowl winner, but their road is tougher than ever.
Indianapolis is the highest seed of the teams priced higher than 20/1. Because they will likely have to play the Broncos in the 2nd round in the event of a win, 25/1 to win the Super Bowl is pretty adequate. Even though they have the ability to go on a run, they would have to go through the Broncos and Patriots on the road before a matchup in the Super Bowl.
Indy’s opponent in the first round is the Chiefs, and they are also prices in at +2500. However unlike the Colts, I think KC at +2500 is a great value. They too would have the same path as the Colts, but they have the type of team that could go on the road and beat the Broncos and Patriots. Along with the Panthers and 49ers, the Chiefs look good.
Chargers (+4000)Last but not least are the Chargers, and at 40/1 I think they could be a pretty solid value as well. Even though the Bengals are very good at home, San Diego has a good team, and emerging defense. They would have to beat up Manning and likely Tom Brady on the way, but the Chargers have been undervalued all season, and they are still there in their future odds.