NFL Picks: Super Bowl Final Thoughts

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, February 2, 2014 4:07 PM GMT

The time for talk is finally over. After two weeks of thug-talk, legacy-talk, Marshawn Lynch shaming, and more, the Super Bowl kicks off tonight.

There isn’t much left to say about this game, as almost every angle has been broken down. However there has been some late line movement in the NFL Odds, and an important matchup that not many people are giving a lot of clout to.

NFL Odds Movement

Even though the Seahawks have been steadily climbing in the money among the offshore sportsbooks, according to RJ Bell, the Broncos have been taking a lot of money in Vegas recently. The NFL Odds in Vegas have the Broncos as -2 ½ favorites with juice at -120 at almost all of them. However, that doesn’t necessarily mean the Broncos are the play.

It appears as if the sharps are all over the Seahawks. Seattle has taken three times the amount of big bets than the Broncos, and at Pinnacle, the NFL Odds have the Broncos at -2 (+101). If Seattle’s defense truly comes to play on the road, this could payoff for not only the sharps but the books as well.

NFL Picks: Super Bowl Prop Picks

Broncos’ defense versus Seahawks’ offense

The big matchup for this game is the one that not many people are talking about, and that’s the Broncos’ defense going up against the Seahawks’ offense. I feel the winner of this matchup will be the winner of the game, because the teams are so good on the other side of the ball, that it might be a stalemate.

The Broncos’ running defense has been good all season, but to stop the Seahawks’ running game, they might have to stack the box, and if Percy Harvin is healthy enough (and stays healthy for the entire game) he might make them pay if they are stacking the box against Marshawn Lynch. Although Russell Wilson likely won’t have to throw the ball much if the game is close, but the Broncos’ secondary is beatable.

However I feel like the Seahawks will have to have not only a brilliant game from Lynch, but from Wilson as well, and it’s the one thing keeping me away from the Seahawks. Wilson will have to have at least one touchdown pass, no turnovers and over 200 yards passing to win this game, and although this is very possible, I doubt it’s probable. I still think the Broncos have the edge.

Super Bowl Picks: Seahawks vs. Broncos Betting Odds Report