NFL Picks: Sundays Best Bets in Week 10

Jordan Sharp

Friday, November 8, 2013 7:08 PM GMT

It’s the first full week of the 2nd half of the NFL season, and while the numbers of NFL Odds this week are light, the value should still be there. I think I have found my two best bets for Sunday’s games, and barring any surprises from the Friday practices, I believe these are two of the most valuable prices this week.

Raiders vs. Giants

Oakland got embarrassed last week at home, and a very good secondary gave up one of the best quarterback performances of all time last week. Even after giving up 375 yards to Peyton Manning, and over 400 yards to Phillip Rivers already this season, the Raiders were only giving up around 250 passing yards per game through their first seven games. However Nick Foles made the Raiders look silly on defense last week and changed all of that. The good thing is the silver and black can use that as motivation this week against a lesser opponent on the road.

New York has been playing better, but the NFL Odds are favoring them by -9 ½ here. The Raiders aren’t a great football team, but they aren’t 9 ½ points worse than the Giants, even on the road. They will likely be without Darren McFadden for this game, but I expect Rashad Jennings to fill in adequately, as he did last week against a similar Eagles defense last week.

If the Raiders’ defense can actually show up this week, (I don’t see how they can’t after that game last week) they have a great chance at covering this lofty spread. There is a reason the Giants have only won two games this season. They can’t rush the passer, they subsequently can’t stop the pass, and Eli Manning has been wildly inconsistent. Some of those things have improved over the last few weeks, but going up against Terrelle Pryor, the Giants overrated defense is going to have trouble.

NFL Pick: Raiders +9 ½

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Bengals vs. Ravens

This game will likely decide the champion of the AFC North one way or another, and the Bengals are currently a -1 favorite in the NFL Odds. Baltimore has not been even half of what they were on offense late last season, and while their defense has remained, both their pass and run game have gone by the wayside.

For the Bengals, despite some key injuries on their defense have kept on going this season, and with only a few hiccups on the way, the Bengals are by far the best team in their division at 6-3 SU. They have had an extra few days to rest and prepare for this game, and hopefully that rest will do well for some of the Bengals’ injured players. Even though they have lost two Pro Bowlers over the last three weeks, they have enough to beat the Ravens on the road here.

The Bengals are actually 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings overall with the Ravens, and I see them improving on that. Andy Dalton is playing like the breakout quarterback of the season right now, and he has the weapons to support him. The Ravens don’t have enough in their secondary to completely shut down both AJ Green, and the rest of the Bengals’ pass catchers. The Ravens have not been great against tight ends either this season, giving up 29 receptions and five TDs to opposing TEs. With Jermaine Gresham (did not practice Thursday) and rookie Tyler Eifert playing well, the Bengals should kill the Ravens in the middle of the field. I am laying the -1 with Cincinnati for my NFL pick, the changing of the AFC North guard happens Sunday.

NFL Pick: Bengals -1

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