NFL Picks: Steelers vs. Ravens Week 13

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, November 26, 2013 8:07 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 26, 2013 8:07 PM UTC

Three games await us on Thanksgiving Day, with the main event pitting Baltimore against Pittsburgh. Both teams have been playing well, but who wins this one?

Odds Overview

No surprise here. Home-field advantage makes the difference, with the Ravens favored by a field goal at M&T Bank Stadium. On the year, Baltimore is 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS, with Pittsburgh at 5-6 SU and 5-6 ATS.

Want to make a play on this game's total? Sportsbooks have the O/U currently sitting at 40.5.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Some thought Big Ben and the Steelers were down and out when they were 2-6 and had just lost to the Patriots by 24 points.

However, Pittsburgh has managed to reel off three straight wins, all of which were by double digits. They beat Buffalo (23-10) and Detroit (37-27) handily at home and then went into Cleveland this past weekend and topped the Browns 27-11.

It was an outstanding performance on both sides of the ball. Roethlisberger was 22-of-34 for 217 yards and two touchdowns, with the scoring plays going to Antonio Brown and Earl Sanders. Brown was shadowed by star cornerback Joe Haden all game, but still finished with six catches for 92 yards. Meanwhile, Le'Veon Bell ended up with 98 total yards, 80 of which came on the ground.

Most of the credit should go to Pittsburgh's defense though. The unit dominated Jason Campbell (and then Brandon Weeden) as well as the pathetic Cleveland running game, which totaled a mere 55 yards.

Thursday night will be a much tougher test though, especially since the Steelers have struggled on the road. They're 2-4 both SU and ATS outside of Pittsburgh this season.

NFL Picks: Steelers vs. Ravens Betting the Spread

NFL Picks: Steelers vs. Ravens Opening Odds Report

Baltimore Ravens

One week after a gut-wrenching loss in Chicago, the Ravens came out and dominated Geno Smith and the Jets from start to finish. The final score was 19-3 in favor of Baltimore.

Justin Tucker hit four field goals and Jacoby Jones' 66-yard touchdown play put the nail in the coffin for the Ravens.

QB Joe Flacco had 273 passing yards to go along with a touchdown and a pick, but the running game again struggled to get going. Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce had 27 attempts for only 60 yards between them.

Like Pittsburgh, Baltimore won because of their defense, which held New York to 210 total yards. Geno Smith was held to 127 passing yards and was picked off twice, while also losing a fumble. Baltimore also had three sacks in the win.

Now the focus shifts to another home date, this time against Pittsburgh. The Ravens have won four of five games at home, having beaten Cincinnati, Houston, Cleveland and the Jets, with the only loss coming against Green Bay.

NFL Picks: Week 13 Betting Odds Report

NFL Pick

What a pivotal game this is for both teams. They're tied in the AFC North standings at 5-6 SU and victory would likely go a long way to securing a playoff berth.

Pittsburgh took the first meeting (19-16) at home, as Shaun Suisham nailed four field goals to go along with one passing touchdown from Roethlisberger to Heath Miller. The Steelers made life difficult for Joe Flacco and especially Ray Rice, who had only 15 carries for 45 yards.

Out for revenge, we look for Baltimore to return the favor and win this rematch at home. We're going to add the Ravens to our NFL picks this week considering they are 4-1 SU and ATS in their own building, and we think they'll end Pittsburgh's winning run here on Thanksgiving.

NFL Pick: Baltimore Ravens -3


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