NFL Picks: Steelers vs. Raiders Betting Analysis

Joe Freda

Wednesday, October 23, 2013 3:43 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 23, 2013 3:43 PM GMT

Mike Tomlin’s club heads west for this Sunday’s NFL betting, facing the Oakland Raiders. Let's have a look at what the NFL odds say about this match.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pulled out their second straight win in last week’s 19-16 victory, collecting by a ‘hook’ as 2 ½-point home betting odds ‘chalk.’ 

Steelers, Suisham top Ravens 

Steelers placekicker Shaun Suisham hit 4-of-4 field goals in last Sunday’s triumph, including a game-winning 42-yard strike. Pittsburgh’s defense  held the Ravens to 287 total yards, giving up one touchdown in Baltimore’s two red zone trips.

Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger connected 17-of-23 passes, finding tight end Heath Miller for an early score. Pittsburgh’s Le’Veon Bell rushed for a season-high 93 yards, logging 19 carries out of the backfield. 

The tight affair’s 35 points ducked below the ‘total’ of 41, moving the UNDER to 4-2 in the Steelers’ six weeks of action. Pittsburgh logged 17 first downs in its 31 minutes of possession, while both sides combined for 16 penalties (117 yards). 

Raiders smacked in K.C. 

Oakland has been idle since Oct. 13, losing a 24-7 duel with the Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders gave up 10 sacks, while allowing four unanswered scores after an early 7-0 lead.

Oakland’s Terrelle Pryor tossed three interceptions under center, including a “pick six” to Chiefs safety Husain Abdullah. Raiders wide out Denarius Moore logged five catches from Pryor, while running back Darren McFadden was held to 52 rushing yards on 16 carries. 

The Raiders’ defense allowed 216 total yards, giving up two touchdowns on the ground to Kansas City’s Jamaal Charles. UNDER backers collected with the contest’s combined 31 points sliding beneath the ‘total’ of 41, while Raiders punter Marquette King averaged 51.8 YPP in eight appearances.

Back the UNDER in Oakland 

Pittsburgh opened as a three-point road favorite on Bet365’s NFL odds board, while the ‘total’ was first set at 40 ½. The weather forecast in Oakland calls for a clear 66 degrees, with calm winds. 

I am adding the UNDER in this matchup to Sunday’s sports picks, looking for some low octane between these rivals. 

Oakland has held foes to 16.7 PPG in its three home dates, while the UNDER is 5-1 in the club’s last six spots following a bye week. The Raiders rank dead last in passing (191.7 YPG), while being one the league’s top 10 defenses against the run (99 YPG).

Pittsburgh has been showing its toughness again, tightening up to 11 PPG allowed in its latest two contests. Roethlisberger and Co. controlled the ball for 36 minutes in last year’s trip to Oakland, while the UNDER is 5-1 in the Steelers’ last six duels that came after a victory.

Pittsburgh’s defense has given up stingy total yardage (306.8 YPG), while ranking sixth in the league against the pass (197.5 YPG). Steelers linebacker LaMarr Woodley has put the pressure on with one sack in each of his last four games, while logging a season-high four tackles in last week’s battle with Baltimore.

[gameodds]16/226975/?r-1=19-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Look for both sides to grind it out here for our NFL picks, adding another cashed ticket to the UNDER’s 7-0 mark in the Raiders’ last seven home dates.

NFL Pick: UNDER 40 ½ at Bet365 

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