NFL Picks: Steelers vs. Bengals Betting ATS

Jordan Sharp

Friday, September 13, 2013 12:59 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 13, 2013 12:59 PM UTC

Will Pittsburgh turn it around, or will the Bengals seek revenge from the Steelers for their Week 1 loss to the Bears? What do the betting odds makers say and where should we be with our NFL picks?

The Steelers lost their home opener to the Titans this past Sunday, and they lost more than just the game. Now they have to go on the road to a very improved Bengals team, and the NFL Odds have the Bengals as -6 ½ favorites, with a total of 40 ½. 

Injury plagued

It didn’t take long for the Steelers to be hit by the injury bug. They were already dealing with some issues during the offseason, but Week 1 saw three important players for the Steelers go down for the season. Maurkice Pouncey was the biggest injury, as their star young center tore his ACL and MCL, and will miss the rest of 2013. If that wasn’t enough, running back LaRod Stephens-Howling is done for the year, as is Larry Foote on defense. The Steelers amassed only 195 total yards against the Titans in Week 1, so only god knows what will happen against a bigger and better Cincinnati team on the road.

The Bengals on the other side aren’t without some of their own injury concerns, however things seem to be getting better. Starting weak side linebacker, Vontaze Burfict only practiced a little today, but it would be much more of a concern if he missed altogether. Starting left tackle, Andrew Whitworth also made his return to practice after a setback on his surgically repaired knee. With both of these guys looking good for Monday night, it spells bad news for the Steelers, who are dealing with a brand new offensive line against one of the best defensive lines in football in Cincinnati.

Check out our Steelers-Bengals Opening Odds article right here~

The Steelers will now be starting a second year, 7th round draft pick, Kelvin Beachum at center, and something tells me that the problems we saw last week in Pittsburgh are going to be more exaggerated in this game against a much better Bengals team. Ben Roethlisberger was sacked five times last week against the Titans, and was hit another 6 times. Against a pass rush that is much more vicious, I would expect those numbers to go nowhere but up.

The Sharp Pick

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Combined with all of the injuries, the Steelers have not been great on the road recently, and have a very poor rate of covering away from home. The Steelers are only 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, and seeing as they have half of their team missing already, things don’t look good going into Cincinnati on national television.

The Bengals won and covered their most recent matchup with the Steelers, and that was late last season in Pittsburgh. With their offense struggling, the Pittsburgh defense is going to get worn down even faster during this game, and the season. If I were the Bengals, I would blitz every play, because the Steelers have no running game, and they have no offensive line to counter the blitz. Lay the -6 ½ with the Bengals for your NFL picks, because the longer we wait, the higher the likelihood of the line going up. I could easily see a 20-point victory for Cincy.

My Pick: Bengals -6 ½ at Bet 365

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