St. Louis Rams future odds update
St. Louis is doing everything right and should return to greatness in a few years, but it’s not likely they do it in 2013. Even after going 7-8-1 SU last year, the Rams are still far away from being a NFL future odds team. However they were one of four teams that went 11-5 ATS last season, and there might be some of that sneaky value left for the 2013 season. Let’s take a look at the offseason future odds for St. Louis and decide whether or not the sportsbooks are still undervaluing St. Louis.
Super Bowl (+6600)
At this time last season the Rams were 100/1 on the NFL odds boards or even higher to win the Super Bowl, so at the earliest of glimpses it appears the books do recognize that the Rams will not be undervalued again. In the cases of the other 2012 11-5 ATS teams the Seahawks, Redskins and Colts, all three are either slightly or way overvalued in the Super Bowl odds. However the Rams are the only team who killed it against the spread last season and might do it again in 2013. They made some nice offseason moves both in the draft and free agency, but will they be able to match or exceed 11-5 ATS?
At Bet365, the Rams and their divisional rival the Cardinals are both ranked at the bottom of the NFC in the future odds this offseason, and while the Cards probably deserve to be there, I don’t think the Rams should be. The Rams are almost certainly as good as some of the teams that Bet365 has at half the price to win the NFC at +2000. St. Louis had an exceptional draft, snagging two first round picks in Tavon Austin to replace Danny Amendola, and Alec Ogletree at ILB. Both should immediately come in start as the Rams don’t have any stand out receivers and they are trying to move Ogletree to the strong side which some are criticizing.
Either way, I expect the Rams to be very similar both in talent and in value in 2013. They will likely not have much of an offense after losing Steven Jackson and Amendola to free agency, but their defense under Jeff Fisher will likely be even better than last season. 11-5 ATS is a lofty expectation, but 10-6 or 9-6-1 ATS is not out of the question for this Rams team.
Also because of all the offense lost from the Rams, I see the under also being a solid bet to look out for in 2013 for our NFL picks with St. Louis. The Rams were an even 8-8 in the totals last season but you can bet after losing about 2000 yards of offense (calculating with a full season for Amendola) the Rams will likely be a team you look to bet the under with come September. They are going to have to rely on their defense.