The Seahawks are speeding up the NFL ladder, and now they have landed at being one of the top five favorites to win the Super Bowl this season. We have been covering the NFL odds for the Seahawks to win the NFC West, the NFC, and of course the Super Bowl, but now it is time to look at their season win total from LVH Sportbsook in Las Vegas. The Hawks are handicapped to 10 .5 wins this season, with the ‘Over’ and ‘Under’ priced the same at -110.
Looking for more info on NFC West team season wins? Read our report!
Seattle has a rough start to their season. Their strength is playing in one of the toughest places in the entire country to play, but three of their first five, and five of their first eight games are on the road this season. These are no easy road games either. They travel cross-country to Carolina in Week 1, and they also play the Texans, Colts and Rams on the road before Week 8. Add in a Week 2 home matchup with the 49ers, and the odds of Seattle stumbling out of the gate rise five-fold before we even get to camp.
Seattle has to travel cross-country three times during the season. Combine that with the other long road trips this team faces just because of their geography, and the deck seems to be stacked against them this season. Their schedule does not really get much easier in the second half either. Even though they have a majority of home games, two of them aren’t until the last two weeks of the season. Second half games for them include a trip to Atlanta, San Francisco and New York, along with home games against the Vikings and Saints before they finish with two divisional games at home. With eight of their first 14 games on the road, I think the Hawks are a bit overvalued here as NFL picks.
Where do the Seahawks rank among the rest of the NFC West this season?
The Hawks have to travel about 2500 miles for their Week 1 game in Carolina. The NFL odds have the Hawks as -3.5 road favorites in this game, with a total of 45 .5 points. As I talked about last week in my article on the Panthers, the Hawks were great ATS in almost every area last season except when they were road favorites. They were 2-3 ATS in that spot in 2012, and since 2003, the Hawks are 12-16 ATS as road favorites.
This is an unnerving trend, especially because they have to play the dynamic Cam Newton in Week 1. Obviously they blasted the Panthers last year in Week 5, but as we know, the Panthers have improved, and are a much better team than they were in Week 5 of last season.
The Sharp Pick
The path for the Seahawks is too tough in my eyes to warrant an ‘Over’ bet in this spot. The Hawks could just as easily fall to 9-7 SU this season thanks to their tough schedule. As we saw a season ago, a 10-6 SU team missed the playoffs in the NFC. Combine their tough schedule with concerns about the second season of Russell Wilson, and you have a sure fire under bet for me. I doubt they miss the playoffs, but don’t get your hopes to high on the Hawks ATS either this season. Their remarkable season a year ago ATS will surely make them overvalued on all fronts heading into 2013.
My Pick: ‘Under’ 10.5 -110
Week 1 Lean: Panthers +3.5 -115 at Bet365