NFL Picks: Seattle Seahawks NFL Future Odds Update

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, May 15, 2013 6:34 PM GMT

The Seahawks come into this season with higher expectations than we have seen with this team in a while.


Not since 2005 have wee seen expectations so high for this team, and that was with Matt Hasselbeck and Shaun Alexander running the show on offense. Times have changed a lot in Seattle, but the Hawks are one of the big favorites to not only win the NFC this season, but to win the Super Bowl as well. Can we expect a reasonable rate of return from a team that still doesn’t have much postseason experience? The NFC is full of sharks, so are the Hawks up to the challenge?

Super Bowl (+800)

At Bet365 there are only three teams with better odds at winning it all this season, and only one team with better implied probability to win the NFC. The Hawks made it into the 2nd round of the playoffs last season, but they lost to the team that normally chokes in the postseason, the Falcons. Is 8/1 enough value? I think not. Seattle is one of, if not the most overvalued team in the entire future odds this offseason. I know all about their upgrades and all about the money they have spent, but money spent and talent accrued does not always translate into winning. I love Pete Carroll, but I think the Hawks are a big sucker bet this offseason to win the Super Bowl.

NFC (+400)

Once again the books have overvalued the Hawks to win the NFC. There is not enough convincing in the world you could do to make me think otherwise. An unproven team along with an unproven quarterback entering his sophomore season does not bode well for a Seattle team trying to do what it takes to win it all. I understand their defense might be the best in the NFL, but there are a ton of offenses in the NFL that can beat good defense on the right night. The Hawks are way overvalued once again in the NFC future odds.

Also, check out the Rams' Futures Update!~

My Take

Barring what the sportsbooks are trying to do here with making you believe the Hawks have a chance at winning the Super Bowl, another question surrounding this team is whether they can produce another season like they did in 2012 ATS. The Seahawks were one of four teams that went a league best 11-5 ATS in 2012, and after coming almost out of nowhere last year, the Hawks aren’t surprising anyone this season.

With how overvalued they are in the NFL future odds this offseason, I think that is going to translate into being WAY overvalued once the season rolls around. I don’t think the Hawks are ready to be eight, nine or even 10 + point favorites on a regular basis during the season. All things considered, the hype, their 2012 ATS record and with how overvalued they are in the future odds, I am convinced all the way in May that the Seahawks are going to provide more value in betting against them than betting on them this season. Consider my warning when making your NFL picks