The NFL odds for this one opened up with the Hawks as -10 ½ road favorites, with a total of 42. Even with all of the Rams’ problems this week, will they be able to cash a winner, or will Seattle roll right through town?
The Rams’ Sam Bradford tore his ACL this past week and is out for the season. Despite not playing great, Bradford has slowly shown some signs of progression this season, and even though he wasn’t playing superbly, he was one of the loan bright spots in the St. Louis offense this season.
Enter Kellen Clemens, a savvy veteran who has been in the league for several years backing up various starters. Now he gets a shot at starting for seemingly the rest of the season, and although he may not be as good as Bradford, Clemens should be able to at the very least manage the games for the Rams.
The bigger issue right now in St. Louis is that Clemens has little in terms of weapons on offense. Even though Zac Stacy came out and had a big game in Week 7, now against the Seahawks, it should be a lot harder to run the football for St. Louis.
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The Seahawks are 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall, and they are 6-2 SU in their last eight road games. The latter trend is a big one considering this team was not known to be good on the road until very recently. Seattle has been getting better and better on the road, and the main reason for that is their defense.
However their offense may get a much-needed booster shot this week, as Percy Harvin has returned to practice after offseason surgery. Harvin has of course missed the first half of the season, and even if he plays in this game, his snaps will be limited. However Harvin gives Seattle something they have never had in the Russell Wilson era, a #1 receiver that can play multiple positions.
Seattle is 14-2 SU in their last 16 games overall against the Rams, and 6-2 SU in their last eight games at St. Louis. The Rams on the other hand are only 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against Seattle overall.
Even though the Hawks have owned the Rams in the last half-decade and more, St. Louis started reversing the trends last season. St. Louis went 1-1 SU against the Hawks last season, and 2-0 ATS in 2012.
However without the help of Bradford, and with little in regards to weapons compared to last season, Seattle is and should be a double-digit road favorite in this one. As of right now I’m leaning towards the Hawks. The Rams should be out of sync with the back up QB getting into the game, and I expect Seattle’s defense to blitz Clemens all game, forcing him to make bad decisions.Make sure you check back later in the week for not only my NFL picks on the spread, but the total as well.