NFL odds opened this Thursday night NFC West showdown with Seattle as a 6.5-point road favorite. Sportsbooks tagged the total at 42.5 and quicker than a Houston Texans quarterback throwing a pick six, it was lowered to 40.5.
The Series History
Since becoming division partners in 2004, Arizona trails in the series 13-9 and is 10-12 ATS. When playing in the land of cactus, the Cardinals are 7-4 SU and ATS and have covered five the past six. Since 2006, only once has the result of the first game total (over or under) not been the exact opposite in the second meeting.
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Examining the Line Makers Releases
It was recent vintage Carson Palmer at Candlestick Park. Palmer was 25 for 41 for 298 yards and two touchdowns. However, most of that came after throwing two first quarter interceptions. Good Carson, Bad Carson.
At least Palmer finally found Larry Fitzgerald, who had six catches for 119 yards (one costly fumble) and they seemed to be on the same page for the first time in 2013.
Also, those putting out the NFL odds and making sports picks have to add rookie running back Andre Ellington into the Arizona’s arsenal after he has 12 touches running and catching for 92 yards and brings some speed as a nice change of pace player.
The Cardinals might not have won or covered against the 49ers, but they played them tough and were in the game to the closing minutes.
Whether they are a superior or weak football team, Seattle is notorious as an inefficacious road squad. While they have made strides in being 2-1 SU and ATS this season (6-1 ATS in their last seven away contests including the postseason), your typical football bettor looking at the betting odds is going to have a negative connotation regarding backing the Seahawks on the road.
Making head coach Peter Carroll’s crew an almost touchdown wagering choice seems dicey given their history overall and in the Grand Canyon State.
Are the Seahawks a Good or Bad Bet?
If you forget the negative trends surrounding Seattle, the Seahawks powerful and extremely physical running game with Marshawn Lynch doing the majority of the ball carrying has to be hopeful after the Niners ran for 149 yards on the Arizona’s previously No. 3 rated run defense. (Though it was just for 3.9 yards a carry) The offensive line plays much better with center Max Unger back, but be assured Cardinals defensive coaches will work on the Hawks left guard James Carpenter, who is the weak link of the offensive line.
Seattle’s defensive line will be thrilled to attack the Cards offensive line, which could charitably called second-rate. And if they have success in aggressively reaching Palmer, the Legion of Boom secondary should have a couple of picks.
You just wonder if they can overcome themselves on the road.
Are the Cardinals a Good or Bad Bet?
As mentioned, coach Bruce Arians club has spunk which is why they are 3-3 and 4-2 ATS. Compared to last year, if a couple of events did not go the Cardinals way, that team was ready to collapse.
On aspect Arians will not have to bring up is the Cardinals being crushed 58-0 in Week 14 last season at Century Link Field. Yes, Arizona did more than enough damage to itself, yet those types of blowouts leave a sting they would like to inflict back on this division foe.
The Cardinals have proven to be mentally prepared for this encounter and bring their best efforts. If Arizona is to cover the spread or pull off the upset they must do the little things that matter, finish plays, hold on to the ball and create Seattle miscues.Check back with me later this week when I will have NFL picks on the side and total for this Thursday throw down right here at SBR Forum.