NFL Picks: Saturday NFL Free Picks

Jordan Sharp

Friday, August 23, 2013 7:05 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 23, 2013 7:05 PM UTC

Saturday is a big day in the NFL, and with all the games going on today, there is bound to be some value lying around. Let’s take a look at the NFL Odds and see which games are the most intriguing.

Chiefs vs. Steelers

Neither of these two offenses have been looking good at all in the preseason, but while their offenses have been playing poorly, their defenses are looking improved and healthy. Even though they didn’t put up much of a fight, the 49ers only scored 15 points on the Chiefs last week, while the Steelers first-string defense (though it doesn’t appear this way from the box score) did not give up a touchdown last week. The NFL Odds for this game favor the Steelers at -2 ½, with a total of 40 points. 

LeVeon Bell is now out for the Steelers, and their plans of a run heavy offense look like they’re going away. On top of the lackluster running game, the Steelers have a brand new offensive line, and it has not looked very good so far.

Mike Tomlin has cashed the under twice so far this season, and for his career is 16-10-1 cashing the ‘Under’. Seeing as neither of these teams have much offensive upside, and a ton of defensive potential, I’m going with the under.

My Pick: ‘Under’ 40 ½ @ 5Dimes


Bucs vs. Dolphins

Both teams will likely use this game as a warm-up for the regular season, which means the two young coaches will likely play their young teams a little longer in this game. The Bucs come in winless this preseason, while the Dolphins haven’t done much better. The only win they have is against the Jaguars, the worst of the Florida teams.

This is simply a value play, but since the first half money line will likely be above even money, I think a play on the Bucs in the first half is the best bet here. We should see a lower scoring game between these two teams, and that always favors the underdog. The Bucs have been soundly beaten twice this preseason, and if ever it was time to get a win, it’s now. In the battle between the two sets of starters in the first half, I think Tampa Bay has the slight edge.

My Pick: Bucs 1H ML


Falcons vs. Titans

The Falcons have been playing it easy so far in the preseason, but I have a feeling that is about to change. Even though Mike Smith and the Falcons have been coasting through the preseason so far, they have a get right game against the Titans here, and Smith has always brought it in Week 3. In his career with the Falcons, Smith is 4-1 SU in Week 3 of the preseason. Against the shaky Titans, I see the Falcons coming out and playing their starters for most of the first half.

If that indeed is the case, I see no reason why the Falcons are +3 underdogs in this game. This line is simply judging the Falcons on what they have done this preseason, not what they are going to do. With Smith’s track record of gunning for the win in Week 3, I’ll take points with the Falcons for this NFL pick. If they get a lead by the half, the Titans will likely not have enough to come back.

My Pick: Falcons +3 

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