NFL Picks: San Francisco 49ers Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, September 2, 2015 12:49 AM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 2, 2015 12:49 AM GMT

The San Francisco 49ers went from a Super Bowl appearance three years ago to an 8-8 record last year, and now most are forecasting a last place finish in 2015.   

 

The 2015 NFL regular season is set to begin next Thursday, September 10th, but before we get to that point, we will be here daily presenting team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks prior to Kickoff Weekend. Today we are profiling the San Francisco 49ers, who finished 8-8 in 2014 and in third place in the NFC West.

 

To begin, here is a summary of the San Francisco betting statistics over the past five seasons. Note all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

San Francisco 49ers Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  22-17-1    22-17-1    44-34-2  
ATS Favorite  21-17  14-9  35-26
ATS Underdog  1-0-1  8-8-1    9-8-2
Avg. Margin  +7.5  +0.8  +4.2
Over – Under  19-20-1  19-20-1  38-40-1
Avg. Total Score    40.1  41.3  40.7

 

Looking at the last five years in totality, few teams have been as consistent at home vs. away as the 49ers, posting identical 22-17-1 ATS records and 20-19-1 ‘under’ records at home and when traveling. However, what had been a fine ATS record got blown up in 2014, when San Francisco went just 6-10 ATS overall including 2-6 ATS at their new home at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara.
Key Trend: San Francisco is 10-5, 66.7 percent ATS as a favorite of less than seven points when coming off of an ATS loss.

Up next, let us take a look at the 49ers’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 San Francisco 49ers Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  19.1  25th   21.2  10th
Rushing  136.1  4th  99.7  7th
Yds. Per Rush    4.6  3rd  4.0  9th
Passing  191.4  30th  221.7  6th
Yds Per Pass  6.3  24th  6.4  9th
Total Yards  327.6  20th  321.4  5th
Yds. Per Play  5.5  21st  5.4  7th

 

The San Francisco defense was great as usual last season, but the offense generated just 19.1 points per game with the passing offense being almost non-existent with Colin Kaepernick at the helm. Yes, Kaepernick threw for a career high 3,369 yards, but such is the state of the modern day NFL that the 49ers only ranked third from the bottom in the league in passing yards per game.

And now, we sneak a peek at various San Francisco Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 San Francisco 49ers NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +7000  +7200  +4000  +6000
NFC Conf. Odds  +3800  +3897  +1800  +2700
NFC West Odds  +2450  +1950  +800  +1300
Win Total  7 un-165     7 un-185  7 un-155     7 un-170   

 

My how the mighty have fallen! The 49ers were in the Super Bowl just three short years ago, but now they are picked to finish in last place as the longest shot on the board to win the NFC West, and the fact that their already low posted win total of 7 is heavily juiced on the ‘under’ suggests that the books are expecting close to a 6-10 finish this year, two games worse than last season.

 

San Francisco 49ers Key Additions
The 49ers made some good veteran additions to the offense in running back Reggie Bush and wide receiver Torrey Smith. The most help the defense received though may have come from the first two picks of the NFL Draft, defensive end/tackle Arik Armstead and safety Jaquiski Tartt.

San Francisco 49ers Key Losses
Oh, where to begin? San Francisco lost a lot of talent on both sides of the ball, which is why they are projected to be a last place team. The offense lost running back Frank Gore, wide receivers Michael Crabtree and Stevie Johnson, tackle Anthony Davis and guard Mike Iupati. Meanwhile, the defense waved goodbye to linemen Justin Smith and Ray McDonald, linebackers Patrick Willis and Chris Borland and cornerbacks Perrish Cox and Chris Culliver.

comment here