NFL Picks: San Diego Chargers Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, August 11, 2015 5:52 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the San Diego Chargers.

 


The 2015 NFL season is set to begin Thursday night, September 10th, but before we get to that point, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks well in advance of Kickoff Weekend. Today we are profiling the San Diego Chargers, who finished 9-7 in 2014 and in third place in the AFC West.

First let us begin with a summary of the San Diego betting statistics over the past five seasons. Please note that all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

San Diego Chargers Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home    Away  Overall
ATS Overall  19-21  18-20-2    37-41-2  
ATS Favorite  14-14  5-12-1  19-26-1
ATS Underdog  5-7  13-8-1  18-15-1
Avg. Margin  +6.0  -1.1  +2.5
Over – Under  16-24  24-16  40-40
Avg. Total Score    43.2  49.1  46.1

 

It seems the best opportunities ATS for betting Chargers’ games over the last five years have been on the road by blindly betting the underdogs in those road contests. That is because San Diego has gone 29.4 percent ATS as a road favorite and 61.9 percent ATS as a road underdog, meaning blindly betting dogs in San Diego road games has gone 25-13-2, 65.8 percent!
Key Trend: The ‘over’ is 14-3, 82.4 percent in San Diego road games when coming off of an ‘under’.

Up next we take a look at the Chargers’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 San Diego Chargers Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  21.7  17th  21.7  12th
Rushing  85.6  30th  124.1  25th
Yds. Per Rush    3.4  31st  4.5  29th
Passing  256.2  10th  214.1  4th
Yds Per Pass  7.1  10th  6.5  13th
Total Yards  341.7  19th  338.2  10th
Yds. Per Play  5.6  13th  5.6  18th

 

The Chargers ranked toward the bottom of the NFL last season in running the ball offensively and stopping the run defensively, so in that sense they were rather fortunate to finish 9-7. San Diego took advantage of an easy early schedule to get off to a 5-1 start, but the Chargers then came back down to earth by going 4-6 over their last 10 games although they were not officially eliminated from the playoffs until losing at Kansas City in the season finale.

And now let us take a peek at various San Diego Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 San Diego Chargers NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +5000  +4200  +4000  +4800
AFC Conf. Odds  +1500  +1731  +2200  +1400
AFC West Odds  +440  +386  +500  +420
Win Total  8½ un-125    8½ un-130  8 ov-130     8 ov-140   

 

The sportsbooks are more or less expecting an 8-8 season from the Chargers this season as they are the third choices to win the AFC West behind Denver and Kansas City, and perhaps the reason for the expected one-win decline over last year is that San Diego did nothing really to improve its defense during the off-season.

 

San Diego Chargers Key Additions
Most of the key San Diego additions this season were on offense as the Chargers added wide receiver Stevie Johnson and attempted to fix what was often a leaky offensive line with the additions of tackles Joseph Barksdale and Chris Hairston and guard Orlando Franklin. The special teams may also get a boost thanks to adding kick returner Jacoby Jones. And then of course there was the selection of running back Melvin Gordon in the NFL Draft.

San Diego Chargers Key Losses
Chargers lost quite a few players on paper, but most should not be missed too much as the offense appears re-stocked and the defenders lost did not play well last season anyway. The departures included running back Ryan Mathews, wide receiver Eddie Royal, guard Chad Rinehart, linebacker Dwight Freeney, cornerback Shareece Wright and safety Marcus Gilchrist.