NFL Picks: Redskins vs. Cowboys Opening Odds Report

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, October 8, 2013 2:58 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2013 2:58 PM GMT

Join us as we breakdown the opening NFL odds for this week's matchup between the Washington Redskins and the Dallas Cowboys. Is there any early value on offer worth looking at with our NFL picks?

After putting up the biggest fight any team has given Peyton Manning and the Broncos so far this season, the Cowboys welcome in the rested Skins this week after their bye. The NFL odds for this one favor the Cowboys at -6 here, with a large total of 53 points. Will this game resemble last week’s offensive style, or will both teams struggle like they are both capable of doing?

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The Cowboys were one bad pass away from possibly beating Peyton Manning and the Broncos, but a bad throw on top of an otherwise perfect game for Tony Romo sealed the deal, and got the Broncos a field goal to win it. I like to think about “what ifs,” and there are about a million for this game. However there is one that sticks out to me that makes me think, and it has to do with the blame level that Tony Romo deserves.

Let’s say that Romo did not turn the ball over in the 4th, but the Cowboys missed a field goal to go into overtime. The Broncos win the toss, Manning leads them to an easy touchdown, and Romo doesn’t even get the ball in the extra period. He could not receive any blame for the loss at all in that scenario, but alas, he did turn the ball over in the worst spot imaginable.

If I had to give a percentage on it, I would say Romo’s interception deserves about 40% of the blame. The rest is all on the Cowboys’ defense. Romo is the reason the Cowboys weren’t down 30 points in the 4th quarter, so therefore in no way can he receive a majority of the blame. However I bet Texans across the U.S are blaming him for this one, like they always do.

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 NFL Odds

However despite the SU loss, the Cowboys covered against the Broncos, and now they are a surprising 4-1 ATS so far this season. The Redskins are far from those numbers, and their past has not been kind to them when heading into Dallas. The Skins are 3-14 SU in their last 17 trips to Big D, but they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall against the Cowboys.

The Redskins coming off of a bye week should be well rested, and if Robert Griffin III is done shaking off the rust, he may be a dangerous opponent for the Cowboys after a very taxing game. Washington is 4-1 SU in their last five road games dating back to last season, and not only is Dallas 0-6 ATS in their last six games against the Redskins, but they are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against Washington as well. While Washington can’t seem to win in Dallas, they sure can cover.

Needless to say, Washington should have both the mental and physical advantage coming into this one; the question is will their quarterback have that advantage as well? I think a week off will do RG3 and the Redskins some good, and even though it might be another high scoring game, the NFL Odds with Dallas seem to be overvaluing them a bit. Washington is one knee away from being good again on offense, and seeing their track record against Dallas over the years, it seems my early lean may be to the dogs in this one. Make sure you check back later in the week for my NFL picks on not only the spread, but also the total.

[gameodds]16/226958/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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