NFL Picks: Redskins vs. Cowboys Betting the Total

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, October 9, 2013 5:42 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2013 5:42 PM GMT

An NFC East showdown happens to be in primetime this week, as the Skins head into Dallas off of their bye week to play the Cowboys.

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The NFL odds for this one favor the 'Boys here at -6, with a larger total of 53 points. Will this week’s matchup turn into another shootout for Dallas, or will this game be just as close with a lower score? Let’s take a look at my sports pick on the total.

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Third-aries

Neither of these secondaries are worthy of being called secondaries. They are more like third and fourth-daries with how many yards they have given up so far this season. Through four games, the Redskins secondary has allowed an average of 298 passing yards per game, while the Cowboys after last week have allowed an average of 326 passing yards per game through five.

The Skins are also one of the worst teams against the run in the NFL, which is a much bigger surprise than their lack of a pass defense. While most would guess that Tony Romo has led his team to being one of the top ten passing attacks in the NFL so far this season, some don’t realize that even though it all has come in garbage time, the Redskins and Robert Griffin III also have one of the top ten passing offenses in the NFL through four games.

By all accounts this should be a big time passing game for both sides. I bet the Cowboys will try and protect their defense by running the ball on the Redskins, and even if that happens, Washington will have no choice but to throw. The good news for them is that their tail back, Alfred Morris has stated he will play this Sunday. Morris has dominated the Cowboys in his short career, and I think we can expect more of the same on Sunday evening if the Skins are in the game. Morris ran for a total of 313 yards and four touchdowns in two games against Dallas last season.

Don't forget to check out our Opening Odds Report for this game!

The Sharp Pick

There is almost always 50 points scored when these two meet up, and I think it will happen once again this time around. The over has cashed in four of Washington’s last five road games, and the over has also been good in six of Dallas’ last seven home games. Along with those, the over has cashed in four of the last six times these two teams have played in Dallas.

Off of a four game warm up, followed by a week off to rest and prepare, Griffin III and the rest of the Redskins offense should be able to come out and shake off their early game rust they’ve been having issues with. If the Redskins can use the run to set up the pass in this game, I am confident that there will be a ton of points scored.

I expect the Cowboys to have their way with Washington’s defense, and even if they jump out early, the Redskins have shown the ability this season to score points when teams go into prevent defense. The over has cashed in two of the last three, and three of the last five times these two have hooked up overall, and I see that trend continuing here on Sunday night. The storm is too perfect for another shootout involving the Dallas Cowboys. Take the Over in this game for your NFL picks.

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NFL Pick: Bet the 'Skins/Cowboys game to go OVER 52.5 points, at William Hill

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