NFL Picks: Redskins vs. Cowboys Betting the Spread

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, October 13, 2013 2:56 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 13, 2013 2:56 PM UTC

The ‘Skins and Cowboys hook up from Dallas tonight on Sunday Night Football, and the NFL odds have been steadily moving down since they came out.

Follow our complete coverage of the Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Sunday Night Football game! First, get the basics with our Opening Odds report!

After opening at -6 in favor of the Boys, Dallas now sits as -5.5, and even -5 favorites in the NFL odds. I think I have found some value with one of these teams, so let’s take a look and see where the sports betting value is hiding for Sunday Night Football.


 Slow starts; slow finishes

The Redskins have been awful in the first halves of their games so far this season, and if they don’t start getting off to better starts, they aren’t going to win more than one or two games this season. However they were off on a bye last week, and I think that should seriously help their chances of getting off to a hot start. The most important member of that offense that needs to get off to a hot start is Robert Griffin III.

Griffin’s offseason (or lack thereof) of rehab has made his timing and mechanics a little rusty so far this season. However he and the ‘Skins’ offense have looked better by each week, and I think it will all come together this week against a shaky Cowboys defense. Even though Dallas plays very good defense at home, the ‘Skins have owned the Cowboys recently.

Washington is 8-2 ATS in their last ten meetings with the Cowboys, and they dominated Dallas in both games last season. Speaking of dominating, Alfred Morris will be back and ready for this game after injury his ribs two weeks ago. Morris also dominated the Cowboys last season. In two matchups against the Boys, Morris ran for over 300 yards rushing and four touchdowns. The final game of the season last year he got over 200 yards rushing and three of those touchdowns against them.

Follow it up with our Redskins vs. Cowboys Betting the Total article! 

The Sharp Pick

Dallas is a combined 0-6 ATS in their last six games against Washington, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against the Redskins. After a tough loss to the Broncos this past week, I think there’s a chance of a Cowboys’ regression, and a Redskins rebirth.

After that week off to rest and prepare for Dallas, the Redskins are most likely the NFL pick to play here. Watching that game against Denver should have done this whole team lot of good, and while also being better rested, the Redskins are a little healthier.

Justin Durant is questionable for the game tonight with a groin injury. Although he got in a light practice on Friday, he looks to be a game time decision. Both the Cowboys’ and the ‘Skins’ pass rushes have been very good so far this season, and the team that gets the most pressure on the other team’s offense is likely going to win this game. Both teams are right next to each other with 14 and 15 sacks respectfully.

I think Griffin is going to have a come back game in this one. All signs point to him having a good game, and with how bad the Dallas secondary is it’s going to be easy to set up the run with the pass in this game. While I doubt he does very much running, I bet Griffin will audible to some crucial pass plays if the Cowboys are selling out to stop Morris.

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NFL Pick: Bet the Redskins +5.5 (-110) on the spread, at Ladbrokes 

Finally, for an alternate take on this game, check out Jason Lake's Redskins vs. Cowboys in Week 6!

Visit SBRForum's football message boards and share your thoughts on Thursday night's game!

Check out SportsbookReview's report on Sports betting websites with the best prices on 2013 NFL Futures!

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