NFL Picks: Redskins Get Edge in Week 7 NFC Showdown Against Bucs

Nikki Adams

Friday, October 23, 2015 1:19 PM GMT

Can Jameis Winston lead the Buccaneers to a second straight win when they travel to the nation’s capital to take on the Redskins? Here’s a preview of this NFC showdown complete with NFL picks.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3 SU, 1-1 away)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming off a bye week, looking to notch a win on either side of it as they went into their off week on the heels of a 38-31 shootout win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The win marked their second win of the season after shocking the New Orleans Saints at the Superdome in week 2 with the improbable 26-19 win.

Jameis Winston went into the bye week with one of his best passer rating yet, a 122.5 rating that went some way towards redeeming his worst performance of the season in a 37-27 loss to the Panthers that saw him finish with a subpar 57.0 passer rating. Overall, the No.1 draft pick has a better passer rating (77.44) than some standout names in the league, including Peyton Manning (72.5), Andrew Luck (75.0) and Kirk Cousins (77.4), but not by much.

Washington Redskins (2-4SU, 2-1 home)
Any bonhomie the Redskins may have been enjoying following the sensational upset over the Eagles in week 3 is now gone. They are riding a two-game losing streak behind losses to the Falcons and Jets and slip to a 2-4 SU record on the season. But it’s not all bleak news for the Redskins. They are a modest 3-3 ATS on the season with a 3.5-point losing margin on average. Crucially, they are 2-1 SU and ATS at home with a 3.3-point winning margin. Better yet they are 3-1 ATS in Conference games this season.

The Redskins got the better of the Rams and the Eagles at home, both times defying the NFL odds. Only their week 1 opener to the Dolphins saw the Redskins live up to their underdog expectations.

That said this is the first time this season the Redskins enter a game as the home chalk on the NFL odds board. Although they are just short home faves, it’s still a new role that comes with pressure, which we have no idea how they’ll handle it.

Kirk Cousins is certainly going to have to play a cleaner game – he has six touchdowns, eight interceptions and seven sacks through six games. It’s not all down to Kirk Cousins though. The run of poor form has bearings in what was supposedly a lofty defense but that has faltered over the last two weeks, caused it to slip to 14th in total defense (8th against the pass with 222.5 yards) and 23rd in rushing defense with 118.2 yards.

 

NFL Betting Verdict:
This is going to be an intriguing NFC clash between two sides that will be looking to get into the win column. Buccaneers we’re buoyed by the win over the Jaguars in week 5, but that high has now tapered away. Redskins owe one of their season’s wins to the Jaguars too, which says something. It’s going to be a while before we look upon the Bucs as a side with upside – they are 3-7 SU over their last 10 road games and 6-4 ATS with a 6-point losing margin. In a topsy-turvy NFL where momentum flits back and forth from team to team, we can’t help but lean towards the Redskins as the small home chalk.

NFL Picks: Redskins -3 (-110) at Bovada