NFL Picks: Rams vs. Falcons in Week 2

Joe Freda

Tuesday, September 10, 2013 1:50 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 10, 2013 1:50 PM GMT

Sunday’s Week 2 NFL action has the St. Louis Rams heading east to meet the Atlanta Falcons, facing each other for the first time since 2010. Where are bettors best suited to place their NFL picks in this matchup?

Both clubs come off failing to cash against last weekend’s closing numbers, while each takes the field in a dome for a second straight time.

Rams rally past Cards

St. Louis erased an 11-point deficit in Sunday’s 27-24 victory over the Arizona Cardinals, while failing a ‘hook’ short of collecting as a 3 ½-point home favorite. Rams placekicker Greg Zuerlein connected a 48-yard field goal for his side’s final lead, capping off a 4-for-4 day.

St. Louis’ Sam Bradford connected on 27-of-38 passes under center, finishing with 299 yards through the air. Rams tight end Jared Cook caught a pair of touchdowns, while Bradford’s sole interception was returned for a score by Cardinals defensive tackle Dan Williams.

The Rams’ defense allowed 390 yards, while holding Arizona to a 1-for-2 afternoon inside the red zone. St. Louis’ Robert Quinn registered three of his squad’s four sacks, while the contest’s combined 51 points flew OVER the ‘total’ of 41 ½.

Falcons edged in New Orleans

Atlanta blew an early 10-point lead in last Sunday’s 23-17 defeat to the New Orleans Saints, failing to cash as a 3 ½-point road dog. The Falcons’ defense gave up 419 yards, while on the field for New Orleans’ 35 minutes of possession.

Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan threw for 304 yards, completing 25-of-38 attempts en route to two touchdowns. Atlanta’s Steven Jackson rushed for 77 yards out of the backfield as part of his debut, including one 50-yard dash in his 11 carries.

Atlanta’s Robert Alford snagged his side’s sole interception, while mates Corey Peters and Peria Jerry logged one sack each. The battle’s combined 40 points dipped UNDER the ‘total’ of 54 ½, while both sides finished with 18 first downs.

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Back the Rams as road dogs

The NFL odds opened Atlanta as a 6 ½-point home favorite, with early wagers on the ‘chalk’ lifting the number a ‘hook’ to seven. The ‘total’ was first set at 47, remaining unchanged with initially mixed action.

I am backing St. Louis as part of Sunday’s sports picks, looking for the points to come in handy at the contest’s final gun.

St. Louis collected with a 7-1 spread record in last year’s eight road spots, spending the entire span as an underdog. The sole spot taking place in a dome saw the Rams come away with a 27-23 loss against the Detroit Lions, cashing thanks to receiving nine points from NFL odds makers.

Atlanta has promise this year despite losing its opener, but still finds itself overvalued in the team’s home opener. The Falcons went 0-3 ATS in their trio of matchups last year as a home favorite of seven points or more, pulling out victories by close margins.

St. Louis looks to carry its winning momentum into Week 2, with a 5-2 ATS mark in its last seven contests that followed a victory. Atlanta has gone an opposite 2-5 ATS in the club’s most recent seven affairs that came after a spot of giving up at least 250 yards of passing.

Look for these trends to stay where they are, giving the Rams a cashed ticket in hard-fought road cover.

Free NFL Pick:  St. Louis Rams +7 at Bet365
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